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98.95% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where CBS Sports’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 4 of 5 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 3 of 3 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
501–525 of 1,665
148 / 1,665
graded
1,517 still pending
Outside the room in 3 of 9 articles (1 higher, 2 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 3 of 4 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 3 of 5 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 3 of 13 articles (1 higher, 2 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Denver Broncos to win the division
This is by far the best value on the board among all division futures.
Minnesota Vikings to win the division
If Kyler Murray can help Minnesota return to a functional offense, then it is easy to envision a scenario in which that team capitalizes on others within the division already dealing with injuries.
Houston Texans to win the division
Sort of surprised to see the oddsmakers list Houston as the favorite over Jacksonville, but it's due to their lethal defense.
Denver Broncos to win the division
I think this is the best roster in the division, so getting plus money feels good here.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
Injury concerns will always hover over this team, but I like the moves they made this offseason addressing the defense.
Denver Broncos to win the division
I've got the Broncos winning one of the NFL's toughest divisions.
Chicago Bears to win the division
There are questions on defense, especially after losing Coby Bryant to injury, but it's hard to bet against Johnson in Year 2.
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
This is it! This is the year Justin Herbert finally wins the AFC West!
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
Dak has enough around him to win a wide-open NFC East.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
Buffalo gave Allen his first legit WR1 since Stefon Diggs, and if Jim Leonhard's defense is even marginally better, that means Allen doesn't have to put the team on his shoulders come January.
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
Just average, and this team will make a deep playoff run.
New Orleans Saints to win the division
if New Orleans can weather the early injuries, including Jordyn Tyson's absence, there's enough here to steal a division where 9 wins might be enough to get it done.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
Just average, and this team will make a deep playoff run.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
If the defense takes even a small step forward this season, the odds are good that they will overtake Philadelphia in that division.
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
Everybody seems ready to hand this division back to the Rams, which is probably exactly how the Seahawks prefer it.
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
The margins are wider with the Jaguars, who are entering Year 2 of a union between head coach Liam Coen and quarterback Trevor Lawrence.
New Orleans Saints to beat expectations
New Orleans can be one of the surprise teams of 2026.
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
Houston's defense makes this close, but the Jags get the edge at quarterback, at least heading into the season.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
This one was pretty easy; Mike Vrabel himself said recently that the Patriots' depth isn't very good.
New England Patriots to win the division
It'll be neck-and-neck with Buffalo, but the value is on the Patriots repeating as division champs.
Houston Texans to beat expectations
If C.J. Stroud starts looking like the quarterback he was as a rookie, the Texans are a legitimate Super Bowl sleeper.
Denver Broncos 23 — Chiefs 21
THE PICK: Broncos 23-21 over Chiefs
Houston Texans to win the division
I have the Texans winning the AFC South
Los Angeles Chargers 31 — Cardinals 21
Chargers 31-21 over Cardinals
Tennessee Titans 16 — Jets 13
Titans 16-13 over Jets