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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.63% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 14 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 13 of 16 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
801–825 of 3,307
15 / 3,307
graded
3,292 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 11 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 10 articles (2 higher, 8 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 16 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 17 articles (3 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Jaxson Dart to outplay his draft cost (going outside the top 90 picks in ADP)
Names like Jaxson Dart, Brock Purdy, Bo Nix, Baker Mayfield, Jordan Love, Tyler Shough, and Malik Willis are all going outside the top 90 picks in ADP on most platforms, and each has either a track record of top-12 quarterback play, real rushing upside, or both.
Bo Nix to outplay his draft cost (going outside the top 90 picks in ADP)
Names like Jaxson Dart, Brock Purdy, Bo Nix, Baker Mayfield, Jordan Love, Tyler Shough, and Malik Willis are all going outside the top 90 picks in ADP on most platforms
Brock Purdy to outplay his draft cost (going outside the top 90 picks in ADP)
Names like Jaxson Dart, Brock Purdy, Bo Nix, Baker Mayfield, Jordan Love, Tyler Shough, and Malik Willis are all going outside the top 90 picks in ADP on most platforms
Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (RB2 draft price)
Judkins should receive plenty of touches, but Cleveland's limitations could suppress his efficiency and touchdown production, making him a potential volume trap.
Quinshon JudkinsCleveland Browns
Tyler Shough to outplay his draft cost (going outside the top 90 picks in ADP)
Names like Jaxson Dart, Brock Purdy, Bo Nix, Baker Mayfield, Jordan Love, Tyler Shough, and Malik Willis are all going outside the top 90 picks in ADP on most platforms
Greg Dulcich to outplay his draft cost (later-round fliers)
There are even some later-round fliers our experts really like, including Greg Dulcich.
Baker Mayfield to outplay his draft cost (going outside the top 90 picks in ADP)
Names like Jaxson Dart, Brock Purdy, Bo Nix, Baker Mayfield, Jordan Love, Tyler Shough, and Malik Willis are all going outside the top 90 picks in ADP on most platforms
Malik Willis to outplay his draft cost (going outside the top 90 picks in ADP)
Names like Jaxson Dart, Brock Purdy, Bo Nix, Baker Mayfield, Jordan Love, Tyler Shough, and Malik Willis are all going outside the top 90 picks in ADP on most platforms
Kyle Pitts to be 2nd on the depth chart
The Falcons don't have a lot of firepower at wide receiver beyond Drake London, so Kyle Pitts could very well be Atlanta's No. 2 target-earner this season.
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost
Even with a projected snap split with Perine (70-30%) based on preseason Week 1 usage…Brown should still smash versus the Bengals' third-easiest league schedule.
Chase Brown to be 1st on the depth chart
Even with a projected snap split with Perine (70-30%) based on preseason Week 1 usage… So far this offseason, there has been no additional backfield competition besides Perine.
Trevor Lawrence to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
with Coen's help, the splendidly long-haired quarterback has finally become a top-10 quarterback
Kyle Pitts to outplay his draft cost
If you miss out on Bowers and Loveland, grab Pitts before the sharp drop-off at the tight end position beyond the top eight.
Malik Willis to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
If he and this offense surpass lowly expectations through the air, Willis would be a strong QB1 with upside in 2026.
Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (being drafted as a low-end QB1, according to average draft position (ADP))
There's high-end QB1 potential here — as we saw late last season — and yet Lawrence is being drafted as a low-end QB1, according to average draft position (ADP).
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost
Javonte Williams (RB – DAL) ... Here are players our experts love to pick in fantasy football drafts.
Malik Willis to outplay his draft cost
Here are players our experts love to pick in fantasy football drafts. Malik Willis (QB – MIA)
Javonte Williams to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points
If Williams can post production as he did over the first half of the 2025 season for an entire year, he is a locked-in top-10 back with top-5 upside. At his floor, he looks like a low-end RB1 or top 15 fantasy back.
Kaleb Johnson to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 258 (RB69))
Kaleb Johnson (RB – GB) | ADP: 258 (RB69) ... The running back room isn’t threatening, so Johnson is worth a speculative add.
Kaleb JohnsonGreen Bay Packers
Kayshon Boutte to be 2nd on the depth chart
Boutte should emerge as the Texans’ No. 2 receiver, lining up primarily on the perimeter.
Dalton Schultz to be 1st on the depth chart
At TE24, Schultz has the starting role locked down
Calvin Ridley to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 230 (WR81))
Calvin Ridley (WR – TEN) | ADP: 230 (WR81) ... He’s worth a deep shot, as he could bounce back from a shortened season.
Kaytron Allen to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 247 (RB68))
Kaytron Allen (RB – WSH) | ADP: 247 (RB68) ... He offers a potential goal-line role as early as Week 1, and his role could expand as the season progresses.
Isaac TeSlaa to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 209 (WR67))
Isaac TeSlaa (WR – DET) | ADP: 209 (WR67) ... You should buy the dip and wait for the rebound.
Dalton Schultz to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 182 (TE24))
At TE24, Schultz has the starting role locked down, and considering the cost and opportunity for target share, he’s an easy click at his current ADP.