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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.4% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 14 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 15 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
1901–1925 of 2,179
15 / 2,179
graded
2,164 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 11 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 18 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 9 articles (2 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 16 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Zay Flowers to finish top 11 at his position, by fantasy points
all the way up to a genuinely aggressive top-11 overall receiver valuation
Tyler Shough to outplay his draft cost (Going as the QB21, 161st overall)
Going as the QB21, 161st overall, one analyst ranks him as high as QB14 ... all support a real breakout case
Tyler ShoughNew Orleans Saints
Josh Downs to outplay his draft cost (Going as the WR42, 106th overall)
Going as the WR42, 106th overall, one analyst has him as high as WR38 and considered pushing him even further.
DeVonta Smith to outplay his draft cost (Going as the WR12, 30th overall)
Going as the WR12, 30th overall, one analyst has him as his WR10
DeVonta SmithPhiladelphia Eagles
Kyler Murray to outplay his draft cost (Going as the QB17)
Going as the QB17, one analyst views this as real value ... setting up a real bounce-back case.
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (Going as the WR29, 65th overall)
Going as the WR29, 65th overall, one analyst has him as high as WR20 and would consider him as early as round four.
Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (Going as the RB16, 34th overall)
Going as the RB16, 34th overall, one analyst has him as a top-12 back and would consider taking him as early as round two
Javonte WilliamsDallas Cowboys
Josh Downs to finish top 38 at his position, by fantasy points
one analyst has him as high as WR38
Christian Watson to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points
one analyst has him as high as WR20
Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers
Tyler Shough to finish top 14 at his position, by fantasy points
one analyst ranks him as high as QB14
Tyler ShoughNew Orleans Saints
James Cook to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
if he combines his rushing volume with expanded receiving work, he has a real path to finishing as the top overall running back
Quentin Johnston to be 1st on the depth chart
Quentin Johnston (WR – LAC) is the real wide receiver one of his offense
Quentin JohnstonLos Angeles Chargers
Zay Flowers to outplay his draft cost (Round 3)
Zay Flowers (WR – BAL) is set up for touchdown regression in the best way... a near-lock for touchdown correction this year
Brock Bowers to finish top 1 at his position, by receptions
with real odds to lead the league in catches and touchdowns if the offense elevates around him
Jayden Higgins to outplay his draft cost (Round 13)
A more reliable quarterback situation this year should mean more catchable targets and real breakout potential.
Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost (Round 7)
Parker Washington (WR – JAX) is the true upside swing to take at wide receiver this year.
Parker WashingtonJacksonville Jaguars
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (Round 3)
Javonte Williams (RB – DAL) was actually the RB1 in fantasy points per game last year, yet he's being drafted like a mid-tier RB2 this year.
Javonte WilliamsDallas Cowboys
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (Round 6)
Christian Watson (WR – GB) profiles as a year-four breakout disguised as a year-five breakout
Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers
Jaxson Dart to outplay his draft cost (Round 8)
Jaxson Dart (QB – NYG) offers real rushing upside paired with rookie-year efficiency that was genuinely elite
Malik Willis to outplay his draft cost (Round 15)
real top-12 quarterback upside at an end-of-draft price
A.J. Brown to outplay his draft cost (Round 2)
AJ Brown (WR – NE) is positioned for a potential career year.
A.J. BrownNew England Patriots
Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (Round 8)
offering real QB1-overall upside at a late-round price
Trevor LawrenceJacksonville Jaguars
Jakobi Meyers to outplay his draft cost (Round 11)
remains one of the more underrated target earners in the league
Jakobi MeyersJacksonville Jaguars
Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost (Round 9)
Quentin Johnston (WR – LAC) is the real wide receiver one of his offense, not the more hyped teammate typically drafted ahead of him.
Quentin JohnstonLos Angeles Chargers
Dalton Kincaid to outplay his draft cost (Round 10)
If his role simply expands, he has real upside to smash his current price