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3 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →94.82% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Every graded call published under this banner, by score.
Takes in each band
Where this publisher spends its predictions, and how accurate each kind has been.
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
376–400 of 542
272 / 542
graded
270 still pending
Drake London to outplay his draft cost
You should be getting Drake London in your fantasy drafts if you can.
Denver Broncos to win the division
Sean Payton year two. Got some weapons in the draft. Broncos win the West.
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
San Francisco will be playing on championship weekend this year. Wow. Forty niners final four.
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
Will they win the AFC West again this year? I think that's more likely than not.
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 10 wins
And the Steelers, sir, as you know, book them for ten and seven. You know what I mean? Maybe eleven and six.
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
I think the eagles make it again.
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
The Texans make it again.
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
So I will say the Bills make it again.
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
The Lions make it again.
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
I think the Bengals are gonna make the playoffs this year.
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
The rams make it again.
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
The Ravens make it again.
Sam Darnold to be 1st on the depth chart
Sam Darnold is not getting benched in 2025.
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
I think the chargers make it again.
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
The Chiefs make it again.
Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
And Michael Penaics, obviously, is just he's gonna have his first ever week one start.
Michael Penix Jr. to outplay his draft cost
Take Michael Penic's late. That duo is gonna take you to the playoffs.
San Francisco 49ers to beat expectations
heading into 2025, the forty niners are being slept on, underrated, and San Francisco will be playing on championship weekend this year
Bo Nix to record 35 passing tds
Bo Nicks 4,500 yards, 35 touchdowns.
Washington Commanders to finish with 9 wins
I think they're gonna come back down to earth a little bit, maybe go nine and eight, ultimately miss the playoffs.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
It's only Baltimore in the AFC North.
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
I think I think they might make Jaguars... I think they might win the division.
New York Jets to finish with 5 wins
But you're saying that the Giants and the Jets are both gonna have five wins apiece? Yeah. Five, six at most.
New York Giants to finish with 5 wins
But you're saying that the Giants and the Jets are both gonna have five wins apiece? Yeah. Five, six at most.
Ben Johnson to win Coach of the Year
You're talking about Ben Johnson coach of the year. You're that's what you're talking about. That's what I'm talking about.