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3 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →94.64% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Every graded call published under this banner, by score.
Takes in each band
Where this publisher spends its predictions, and how accurate each kind has been.
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
401–425 of 549
276 / 549
graded
273 still pending
Caleb Williams to win MVP (top-five finish)
Caleb Williams is gonna take a massive leap. I'm talking top five MVP incoming.
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
The Patriots are gonna win 10 plus games this year for the first time since Tom Brady. ... I think ten and seven is not unrealistic looking at this schedule.
Chicago Bears to finish with 11 wins
That means you're talking about eleven, twelve win season there... That's what I'm talking about.
Caleb Williams to win MVP (top-five finish)
So I understand. A top five MVP finish? Yeah. Why not? ... Alright, Chris. Thank you. I'll give you this one.
Carolina Panthers to win the division
I think the Panthers are gonna win the NFC South.
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
Shedeur is gonna end up starting the most games at quarterback for the Browns this year.
Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart
the Giants, they should just go ahead and start Jackson dart day one
Caleb Williams to record 3,900 passing yards
Caleb Williams is gonna break the Bears passing and touchdown records in 2025... 30 touchdowns and 3,900 yards.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
They still have a really good season. There's still a playoff team.
Travis Hunter to finish top ? at his position, by interceptions
I think he's gonna be tremendous.
Caleb Williams to record 30 passing tds
Caleb Williams is gonna break the Bears passing and touchdown records in 2025. That's a tall order, pal. 30 touchdowns and 3,900 yards.
Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
Certainly, if I'm Daybell and Shane, I'm starting with Russ. I'm letting the kid marinate.
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
If I had to peg one team from the top five to make it, it would be Jacksonville.
Drew Allar to be picked at number 1
Drew Aller could be the first overall pick in next year's draft. He could.
Joe Flacco to make the roster
I think he's just gonna be like, you got the roster spot, pal.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “drafted by a team in the twenties”
I don't think that's an overreaction, and that would mean that he he he gets drafted by a team in the in in the twenties.
Best players in the draft. Right? Yeah. Travis Hunter is one. I think this kid is number two.
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
I think Ashton Gentry is going in the top five.
Shedeur Sanders to be 2nd on the depth chart
I think he's going to be drafted by a team that doesn't immediately need him. I think he's gonna end up sitting
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “late first round” (picks 1–32)
He gets drafted late first round. By a team that's good, I think.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
Cam Ward's gonna go first overall... The Titans, Rich, as you know, number one on the clock breaking news, they're gonna take Cameron Ward That's correct. Seemingly. Right? 99.9%. I think it's gonna happen.
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
they're not good enough... But they're also not gonna miss the playoffs to be bad enough to be able to totally reset their franchise.
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
I think Ashton Gentry is going in the top five. / I think he could too... This is not an overreaction.
Jalen Milroe to be picked “late twenties”
Miller going to the draft, I think, is an indication to me that he is going in that late twenties.
Here's here's Daniel Jeremiah's top five players on his draft board... Travis Hunter, one. Abdul Carter, two. Number three is Ashton Gentry... Number four is Mason Graham, and then number five is Jalen Walker... Number six, Tyler Warren. Number seven, Colston Loveland... Eight, it there's Cam Ward. Arman Mambu is nine, and Jada Baron is 10... Will Campbell, 11. Jahad Campbell, 12. Omarion Hampton, 13. Matthew Golden, 14. Nick Emanwori, 15. Will Johnson out of Michigan 16. Tyler Booker of Alabama, Emeka Abuka of Ohio State... one above 19, Tech McMillan... And then number 20... there's Shador Sanders.