Fantasy Bust Calls

Jacory Croskey-Merritt to fall short of his draft cost (currently being selected as an RB3 in most formats)

Jacory Croskey-Merritt is currently being selected as an RB3 in most formats... My issue with Croskey-Merritt is his distinct lack of upside

Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Harold Fannin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (ranked as the TE6)

Despite all of these shortcomings, Fannin is still ranked as the TE6, and I'm running to the hills at that price range.

Harold Fannin Jr.Cleveland Browns

Puka Nacua to fall short of his draft cost (the first round)

I have no qualms passing on Nacua in the first round for players such as Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Christian McCaffrey, Amon-Ra St. Brown, James Cook, etc.

Puka NacuaLos Angeles Rams

Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (pick 25)

I am also probably passing on Allen at his current value of pick 25.

Josh AllenBuffalo Bills

Travis Kelce to fall short of his draft cost (outside the top 100)

Kelce is a bye-week fill-in who you hope gets in the end zone. I'm letting someone else draft Kelce.

Travis KelceKansas City Chiefs

Chris Olave to fall short of his draft cost (an ADP of 26)

At an ADP of 26, the medical red flags outweigh his ceiling and make him a risky investment.

Chris OlaveNew Orleans Saints

Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (current FantasyPros ADP remains around 54 to 58)

Davante Adams is the player I am avoiding because we rank him 83rd overall while his current FantasyPros ADP remains around 54 to 58.

Davante AdamsLos Angeles Rams

Tucker Kraft to fall short of his draft cost (an overall ADP at TE 65)

With an overall ADP at TE 65, Kraft is way too risky for me given it's been less than a year since his surgery.

Tucker KraftGreen Bay Packers

Rome Odunze to fall short of his draft cost (real-time ADP of 59 overall)

I simply refuse to click on Rome Odunze in drafts this season at his real-time ADP of 59 overall.

Rome OdunzeChicago Bears

Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (his ADP)

I am tripling/quadruapling down on Ashton Jeanty not being a strong Fantasy Football pick in 2026, especially for his ADP.

Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders

Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (21 overall)

Am I taking him at 21 overall? No chance... Allen's price is far too high to justify.

Josh AllenBuffalo Bills

Jeremiyah Love to fall short of his draft cost (RB14; 28th overall)

The biggest problem with Jeremiyah Love is not talent; it's opportunity cost. Around his ADP (RB14; 28th overall)...

Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals

Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (WR13 and pick 33)

Rashee Rice at WR13 and pick 33 makes me nervous... Rice is a risky pick right now, and I would much rather have safer options in this range.

Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

Jonathan Taylor to fall short of his draft cost (the RB4/ECR6 player in redraft leagues)

Jonathan Taylor is a great running back, but very risky as the RB4/ECR6 player in redraft leagues... he will not be on any of my redraft teams.

Jonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts

Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top-30 overall)

Malik Nabers inside the top-30 overall is a big no-go.

Malik NabersNew York Giants

Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (his current ADP of RB3 and 5th overall in half-PPR)

I'm avoiding San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey at his current ADP of RB3 and 5th overall in half-PPR.

Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers

Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (fifth-round ADP)

Judkins’ current fifth-round ADP isn’t egregious, but the range is loaded with appealing alternatives... make him a player to avoid at his current price.

Quinshon JudkinsCleveland Browns

DK Metcalf to fall short of his draft cost (his current draft price)

I faded D.K. Metcalf last year, and I’m getting back aboard the “Fade D.K.” train in 2026 because I don’t see much upside at his current draft price.

DK MetcalfPittsburgh Steelers

Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (the No. 1 overall fantasy pick)

Investing the No. 1 overall fantasy pick in a 30-year-old running back coming off 450 touches and declining rushing efficiency carries too much risk. Fade McCaffrey in 2026.

Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers

Rico Dowdle to fall short of his draft cost (the RB32 and 86th overall)

Rico Dowdle is going as the RB32 and 86th overall... leaving Dowdle at risk of handling a smaller role than many fantasy managers expect.

Rico DowdlePittsburgh Steelers

Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (a top-20 ADP)

Trey McBride has a top-20 ADP... his target volume and touchdown total are both strong candidates to regress. He may still play well without delivering the type of production needed to justify selecting him in the middle of the second round.

Trey McBrideArizona Cardinals

De'Von Achane to fall short of his draft cost (going as the RB6)

Last season, De'Von Achane finished as the RB5 in PPR leagues, and now he's currently going as the RB6 in the same format... Achane could finish in a similar spot as last year, but there's very little room for fantasy value.

De'Von AchaneMiami Dolphins

Breece Hall to fall short of his draft cost (going as the RB16)

Currently going as the RB16 in PPR leagues, Breece Hall was the RB17 in the same format last season... Hall's upside is capped if his receiving usage continues to decline.

Breece HallNew York Jets

Jeremiyah Love to fall short of his draft cost (an RB15 ADP)

Jeremiyah Love has an RB15 ADP... With Allgeier on a solid-sized contract, the terrible team around him, and a high-ankle sprain, I'm not overly optimistic about Love's fantasy value.

Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals

Jameson Williams to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 57.8)

I have been on record all offseason about avoiding Williams at his ADP because of how volatile the former Alabama star is.

Jameson WilliamsDetroit Lions