Fantasy Bust Calls

Oronde Gadsden II to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 94.7 | TE9)

Oronde Gadsden II (LAC) – ADP 94.7 | TE9 ... he shouldn't get picked as anything more than a mid-range TE2.

Oronde Gadsden IILos Angeles Chargers

Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 80.6 | QB7)

Jaxson Dart (NYG) – ADP 80.6 | QB7 ... Dart is overvalued at his current ADP.

Jaxson DartNew York Giants

Luther Burden III to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 41.1 | WR17)

Luther Burden III (CHI) – ADP 41.1 | WR17 The hype around Burden has gotten out of control.

Luther Burden IIIChicago Bears

Caleb Williams to fall short of his draft cost (at Top 7 cost)

Caleb Williams (at Top 7 cost)

Caleb Williams

CeeDee Lamb to fall short of his draft cost (at Top 5 cost)

CeeDee Lamb (at Top 5 cost)

CeeDee Lamb

RJ Harvey to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted in near-identical positions)

If Dobbins is on the field, Harvey's upside is dramatically lowered ... I'll just pass on this situation completely

RJ HarveyDenver Broncos

Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (currently ranked as the RB21)

Considering that Irving is currently ranked as the RB21 and Gainwell the RB36 in our expert consensus rankings (ECR), I'd honestly rather wait and take the value.

Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers

J.K. Dobbins to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted in near-identical positions)

J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey are being drafted in near-identical positions ... I'll just pass on this situation completely

J.K. DobbinsDenver Broncos

Jaylen Warren to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted ahead of Dowdle)

Considering that Warren is being drafted ahead of Dowdle, I'm happy to take the discount.

Jaylen WarrenPittsburgh Steelers

Travis Etienne to fall short of his draft cost (Currently ranked as the RB18 atop the fourth tier at the position)

Currently ranked as the RB18 atop the fourth tier at the position, I'd pivot elsewhere for upside.

Travis EtienneNew Orleans Saints

Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (a second-round pick)

Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen is truly awesome, but there is really no way he should be a second-round pick in standard (non-superflex) ESPN fantasy football leagues.

Josh AllenBuffalo Bills

Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (that generous ADP)

not Allen, and certainly not QB injury risks such as Jayden Daniels or Jaxson Dart... Well, I am not planning on going near Dart at that generous ADP.

Jaxson Dart

Kyle Pitts to fall short of his draft cost (a top-five TE in current drafts)

They are making him a top-five TE in current drafts. Should they? ... I tend to wait at tight end anyway, but especially here.

Kyle PittsAtlanta Falcons

Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (your second or third pick)

This is an unreliable player for you to use your second or third pick on.

Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (top-10 fantasy wide receiver)

Judging Nabers as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver -- which was his initial ADP until recently, and it hasn't fallen far -- is dangerous. ... There is major risk with Nabers.

Malik NabersNew York Giants

A.J. Brown to fall short of his draft cost (among the top 10 fantasy WRs)

Draft Brown, of course, but not among the top 10 fantasy WRs.

A.J. BrownNew England Patriots

Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (a second-round pick in standard fantasy leagues)

Still, is that worth a second-round pick in standard fantasy leagues (10 teams, one active QB)? I can't do it.

Josh AllenBuffalo Bills

Kyren Williams to fall short of his draft cost (going early in Round 5 in ESPN leagues)

it is likely Williams will take a statistical step back. Be careful about assuming Williams is a safe RB2 option again.

Kyren WilliamsLos Angeles Rams

Kenneth Walker III to fall short of his draft cost (Walker in the third round)

This one is about value: Walker in the third round is a bit much, at least for me.

Kenneth Walker IIIKansas City Chiefs

Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (sixth-round ADP)

One can reasonably debate whether Gainwell simply outscores Irving this season, making Irving's sixth-round ADP while Gainwell goes in Round 13 feel silly.

Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers

Jaxon Smith-Njigba to fall short of his draft cost (Tier 1 flex player)

Asking JSN to repeat what he did a year ago, which is basically what you’re doing by locking him in as a Tier 1 flex player, is difficult.

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSeattle Seahawks

Chris Olave to fall short of his draft cost (WR12 in half-PPR leagues)

There's reason to believe Jordyn Tyson can outscore his Saints teammate ... Olave is currently being drafted as WR12 in half-PPR leagues

Chris OlaveNew Orleans Saints

Christian Watson to fall short of his draft cost (WR29)

Matthew Golden is being drafted as WR51, while Christian Watson is WR29. That's a huge difference in draft capital, but there may not be much separating the two Packers wideouts when the season ends.

Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers

De'Von Achane to fall short of his draft cost (the seventh running back off the board)

Achane finishes outside RB20 ... Achane is being selected as the seventh running back off the board ... Achane comes with way too many risks, especially at his draft slot.

De'Von AchaneMiami Dolphins

Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (in the first round)

McCaffrey is a ticklish boom-bust pick in the first round, part of a talented but aging San Francisco offense.

Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers