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Cynthia Frelund is an American sports analyst for NFL Network who specializes in predictive analysis. She previously worked for ESPN and the NFL's League Office. Her predictions appear regularly on Around the NFL and Move the Sticks, as well as on The Herd with Colin Cowherd. Her work spans game picks through every round of the NFL postseason, fantasy sleepers, player stat projections, and division and conference winners. She covers teams across the league, from the Patriots and Bills to the Chiefs and Eagles, and weighs in on players like Joe Burrow, CeeDee Lamb, and Drake Maye.
Writes at Move the Sticks (podcast)
Every take from Cynthia Frelund, including the ones still waiting →
Is Cynthia Frelund accurate? Across 124 graded calls in 29 articles, Cynthia Frelund scores 61.08% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 14.51, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.
A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
10 of 29 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 3 of 4.
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Broncos
“I think I have the Eagles by one point. That's where the model I set it out”
Indianapolis Colts to beat Raiders
“My second pick is the Colts to win by six and a half. More than six and a half. Okay, they're playing the Raiders, they're at home.”
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Washington
“even though I have the Chargers winning, I want to take Washington with the field goal of points... I do have the Chargers winning, but it's very close”
Seattle Seahawks to beat Buccaneers
“I'm actually with you on this one... I feel very confident that Seattle win.”
Buffalo Bills to beat Patriots
“I'm going to start with the Bills... They're playing the Patriots at home... So I have the Bills by at least eight.”
Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys
“me and Cynthia and her computer model are agreeing... these are our favorite confidence picks of the week, which is Packers minus seven.”
Washington Commanders to beat Atlanta
“So Cynthia's third pick, by the way, the Washington Commanders... She has them as a road favorite in Atlanta.”
New York Jets to beat Miami
“Again, she has the Jets and the Packers Jets plus two and a half.”
New England Patriots to beat Steelers
“I'm going to keep it with the spicy ones that are the wrong favorite... The Patriots... I just think their defense is more than what the... old line for the Steelers can handle.”
Houston Texans to beat Jags
“I think that the Textan's top the Jags.”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Jets
“I think that the Bucks win. I don't think that they win in a very super convincing fashion”
Dallas Cowboys to beat Chicago Bears
“So I'm gonna go ahead and take them because I have the Cowboys winning that outright”
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Seattle
“then I have a two point win in favor of Pittsburgh only”
Denver Broncos to beat Colts
“No, picking the Broncos. It's two and a half points... Mostly the reason I'm picking them is because the Denver Bronco defense is the best unit in this game”
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
“Lls over Eagles?”
New England Patriots to beat Miami
“I think New England wins interesting beats Miami”
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Jacksonville
“I have them winning by six... so I think Cincinnati wins by more than three and a half points at home against the Jacks.”
Minnesota Vikings to beat Atlanta
“Minnesota is at three and a half. I have Minnesota winning by three”
Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl
“Lls over Eagles? ... and my super Bowl picks won their first games”
Detroit Lions to beat Green Bay Packers
“my model has my model says the Lions win”
Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens
“I think Buffalo wins... it's one and a half for the Ravens right now”
Chicago Bears to beat Minnesota
“it is played at Soldier Field and Minnesota comes to town... I think we get an upset... Outright winners straight up.”
Joe Burrow to record 50 passing tds
“So it could get up to fifty this year.”
Joe Burrow to finish top 1 at his position, by passing tds
“This is a guy who I project to lead the league in passing touchdowns and it's not even close.”
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins
“I had the forty nine ers with at least double digit wins, probably eleven. That's the number.”
“At number ten, we've got Rock Purty... At number nine... It's Baker Mayfield... At number eight, we got our sophomore bow Nicks... At number seven, it's Kyler Murray... at number six, Patrick Mahomes... number five. Jayden Daniels... Lamar Jackson comes in at number four... At number three, Tush push still there... Jalen Hurts... So Joe Burrow... and at number one... Josh Allen... Jared Goff's eleven.”
D'Andre Swift to record 6 rushing tds
“Seven to six I have. David Montgomery was one.”
Drake Maye to record 400 rushing yards
“I think Drake May himself uses his legs for about four hundred yards.”
David Montgomery to record 7 rushing tds
“Seven to six I have. David Montgomery was one. (question: David Montgomery or DeAndre Swift, who's going to have more rushing touchdowns?)”
CeeDee Lamb to record 7 receiving tds
“Ceede Lamb more catches, Courtland Sutton, more touchdowns, eight to seven.”
Marvin Harrison Jr. to record 8 receiving tds
“Now, by the way, it's eight for Harrison Junior and seven for neighbors.”
Malik Nabers to record 7 receiving tds
“it's eight for Harrison Junior and seven for neighbors. So it's not like so different”
Courtland Sutton to record 8 receiving tds
“Ceede Lamb more catches, Courtland Sutton, more touchdowns, eight to seven.”
Detroit Lions to win the division
“I'm with you, I think the Lions again... they're well positioned to kind of remain at least as the favorites”
Ladd McConkey to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
“He's actually like in my top ten for wide receivers for fantasy”
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 1
“the Titans. They're better served, at least at this point, getting a bridge quarterback with one of the free agents and then potentially taking in my mock Travis Hunter. He's the most dynamic player, the one that's worth that first pick overall.”
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 9
“Cynthia, you had Sanders ninth I think going to the Saints”
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Bills
“your projection model has a chiefs to win, but only by one... to me, this is a one point game.”
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Commanders
“I have the Eagles winning this one, but I don't think that they're going to do it by more than six points.”