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Cynthia Frelund· Feb 25, 2025

In her first mock draft for 2025, Frelund has the Titans taking Travis Hunter first overall rather than a quarterback, and Shedeur Sanders going ninth to the Saints; she also says her simulations have Hunter off the board no later than third overall.

Travis Hunter comes off the board no later than third overall in eighty one percent of one million simulations.

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 48 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
9They said
144What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 9

    Cynthia, you had Sanders ninth I think going to the Saints

    Miss · 0Scored 0.29 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    0.29
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    144
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0.29
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Travis Hunter to be picked at number 1

    the Titans. They're better served, at least at this point, getting a bridge quarterback with one of the free agents and then potentially taking in my mock Travis Hunter. He's the most dynamic player, the one that's worth that first pick overall.

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Travis Hunter
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Travis Hunter to be picked “no later than third overall”

    Travis Hunter comes off the board no later than third overall in eighty one percent of one million simulations.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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