Cynthia Frelund · Feb 25, 2025

In her first mock draft for 2025, Frelund has the Titans taking Travis Hunter first overall rather than a quarterback, and Shedeur Sanders going ninth to the Saints; she also says her simulations have Hunter off the board no later than third overall.

“Travis Hunter comes off the board no later than third overall in eighty one percent of one million simulations.”

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

3 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft PicksFeb 25, 2025
“Cynthia, you had Sanders ninth I think going to the Saints”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Shador Sanders
season:
2024
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2025; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 25, 2025
“the Titans. They're better served, at least at this point, getting a bridge quarterback with one of the free agents and then potentially taking in my mock Travis Hunter. He's the most dynamic player, the one that's worth that first pick overall.”
Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Travis Hunter
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 25, 2025
“Travis Hunter comes off the board no later than third overall in eighty one percent of one million simulations.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?