Frelund's Week 1 picks: the Bears upset the Vikings outright at Soldier Field, the Bills beat the Ravens as home underdogs, Tampa Bay beats Atlanta by more than two, and her model has the Lions beating the Packers. She also called Alvin Kamara badly undervalued in fantasy drafts.

“I think we get an upset.”

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

5 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Game Outcome PicksSep 5, 2025
“I think Buffalo wins... it's one and a half for the Ravens right now”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
40-41
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper CallsSep 5, 2025
“I think everyone has slept on Alvin Kamara a lot. This passed up, like when I was doing some fantasy drafts, he was available to me in a round that felt ridiculously lowly”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Game Outcome PicksSep 5, 2025
“it is played at Soldier Field and Minnesota comes to town... I think we get an upset... Outright winners straight up.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Game Outcome PicksSep 5, 2025
“my model has my model says the Lions win”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Game Outcome PicksSep 5, 2025
“where are you on Tampa Bay in Atlantic? Because I have Tampa Bay winning this one... by more than two”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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