Mike Renner· Apr 8, 2026
Brenner ranks the 2026 draft's position groups from weakest to strongest and makes several individual draft-slot calls, including Jeremiah Love as a top-five pick, Arvell Reese first edge off the board at No. 2 to the Jets, first-round grades for the top safeties and five receivers, and Sonny Styles going in the top five.
“You got Jeremiah Love, who's got to go probably top 10, more than likely top five at this point.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast) · read the original →
13 checkable claims — 11 mock draft picks, 1 position order call and 1 pro bowl and all-pro call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
11 of 13 have settled so far, averaging 91.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Where this call stands in the room
Arvell Reese · 2026 season · overall pick4 calls from 4 pundits between 2 overall pick and 5 overall pick. Mike Renner said 2 overall pick. the room's median is 2 overall pick. what happened: 5 overall pick
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
13 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesApr 8, 2026
Sonny Styles to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
“So where he comes off the board, if it's top five, will be the first time since 2019, and I think he will.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- top five (picks 1–5)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksJeremiyah LoveApr 8, 2026
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “probably top 10, more than likely top five” (picks 1–10)
“You got Jeremiah Love, who's got to go probably top 10, more than likely top five at this point.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- probably top 10, more than likely top five (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseNew York JetsApr 8, 2026
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“with Arvell Reese, who's the top guy on the board, obviously, for a lot of people who's probably gonna be the first one drafted at number two to the Jets”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksOmar CooperApr 8, 2026
Omar Cooper to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“Jordan Tyson, McKay Lemmon, Carmel Tate, Omar Cooper Junior, and Casey Concepcion. Those five, I I all expect to go first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Omar Cooper
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 30
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsApr 8, 2026
Caleb Downs to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“Caleb Downs from Ohio State, Emmanuel McNeil Warren from Toledo... These are first round safeties for my money.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksEmmanuel McNeil-WarrenApr 8, 2026
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“Caleb Downs from Ohio State, Emmanuel McNeil Warren from Toledo... These are first round safeties for my money.”
Miss · 32Scored 32.42a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 32.42
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 58
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 32.42
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksMakai LemonApr 8, 2026
Makai Lemon to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“Jordan Tyson, McKay Lemmon, Carmel Tate, Omar Cooper Junior, and Casey Concepcion. Those five, I I all expect to go first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 20
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksJordyn TysonApr 8, 2026
Jordyn Tyson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“whether it's, you know, Jordan Tyson, McKay Lemmon, Carmel Tate, Omar Cooper Junior, and Casey Concepcion. Those five, I I all expect to go first round. I expect them to be the first five off the board in some order”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jordyn Tyson
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateApr 8, 2026
Carnell Tate to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“Jordan Tyson, McKay Lemmon, Carmel Tate, Omar Cooper Junior, and Casey Concepcion. Those five, I I all expect to go first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksJadarian PriceApr 8, 2026
Jadarian Price to be picked “somewhere in the second round” (picks 33–64)
“You got Jadarian Price's teammate who's going to come off the board somewhere in the second round.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jadarian Price
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 32
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- somewhere in the second round (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksK.C. ConcepcionApr 8, 2026
K.C. Concepcion to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“Jordan Tyson, McKay Lemmon, Carmel Tate, Omar Cooper Junior, and Casey Concepcion. Those five, I I all expect to go first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- K.C. Concepcion
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 24
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro CallsFrancis MauigoaApr 8, 2026
Francis Mauigoa to make Pro Bowl
“I think Maui Noah truly, like, in a phone move is special. I think he will be a Pro Bowl guard.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Position Order CallsArvell ReeseApr 8, 2026
Arvell Reese to be 1st edge off the board
“who's probably gonna be the first one drafted at number two to the Jets”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Judah FortgangGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsHit · 100An unsigned PFF top-down betting breakdown argues the Jets will beat the Titans in Week 1, reasoning that Geno Smith should face little disruption against Tennessee's weak pass rush while Cam Ward will struggle against New York's heavy man coverage.
- Bryan DeArdoGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsHit · 100The unsigned CBS Sports preview picks the Jets to beat the Titans in their Week 1 matchup in Nashville, reasoning that Geno Smith's track record gives New York the edge in a close, low-scoring game.
- Chad MillmanGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsHit · 100Millman backed several week one sides outright: Miami to beat the Raiders straight up, the Jets over the Titans, an underdog money line parlay of Houston and the Giants, and a favorites money line parlay of Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and Detroit. He also stands by his preseason take that Drake Maye is a top-five NFL quarterback.
- Gregg RosenthalGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsHit · 100Rosenthal picks Eagles -4.5 over Washington, Bucs +3.5 in Cincinnati, and Steelers -3.5 over Atlanta, and adds extra leans on the Texans, Broncos, Saints and Jets.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsHit · 100An unsigned CBS Sports piece flags five Week 1 underdogs as upset candidates: the 49ers over the Rams in Melbourne, the Texans over the Bills, the Panthers over the Bears, the Jets over the Titans, and the Broncos over the Chiefs on Monday night.
- Conor OrrGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsHit · 100Orr's Week 1 straight-up picks, including several upsets (Patriots, Buccaneers, Browns, Dolphins, Commanders, Broncos).
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rob RangMock Draft Picks · Jeremiah SmithMiss · 0Rang ranks the four headline prospects from the Texas-Ohio State game in the order he'd draft them (Jeremiah Smith, Arch Manning, Cam Coleman, Julian Sayin) and assigns each a draft grade: Smith and Manning as top-5 picks, Coleman top 10, and Sayin a third-rounder.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · Brandon DoughtyMiss · 3Rosenthal gave first reactions to Vegas win totals: overs on the Steelers, Broncos, Vikings, Buccaneers, 49ers and Cardinals, unders on the Falcons and Commanders, plus he expects Shedeur Sanders to start about 10-11 games and thinks the Cowboys' 9.5 is beatable.
- Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks · Gennings DunkerHit · 100Bukowski breaks down Iowa offensive lineman Jennings Dunker as a Packers fit and puts a late second-/early third-round grade on him, noting that range overlaps where Green Bay picks.
- David HarrisonMock Draft Picks · Eli HeidenreichHit · 100Harrison delivers his only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast.
- Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks · Bud ClarkHit · 96In his final 2026 mock draft for the 49ers, Peacock projects San Francisco taking WR Kevin Concepcion (KC) at pick 27, then after trading out of round two, edge rusher Kieron Crawford and safety Bud Clark in round three, OL Trey Zune and RB Jonah Coleman in round four, CB Charles Demings in round five and guard Caden Barnett in round six. He also thinks Omar Cooper comes off the board before Concepcion.
- David HarrisonMock Draft Picks · Riley NowakowskiMiss · 13In his final mock draft Monday, Harrison has the Commanders trading back twice and selecting eight players: safety Dylan Thieneman at 16, WR Denzel Boston at 33, RB Mike Washington Jr. at 83, C Jagger Burton at 132, CB Julian Neal at 147, QB Cade Klubnik at 187, DB Lorenzo Styles Jr. at 209 and TE Riley Nowakowski in the seventh round.