Gregg Rosenthal · Apr 22, 2026
Rosenthal delivered a solo first-round mock draft (a "will happen" mock, no trades), naming a specific player at each of the first 32 picks. He also predicted he'd hit more than 4.5 picks correctly, and suggested George Pickens could be traded by Dallas next year.
“This is a will and yes...”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
35 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksCashius HowellApr 22, 2026
“I have another pass rusher going next, Cassius howel... that's not a bad pick at twenty six”
Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Cashius Howell
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 52.21
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 41
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 52.21
- predicted pick:
- 26
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksChris JohnsonSeattle SeahawksApr 22, 2026
“The Seahawks are next on the board. Chris Johnson is my final pick... The cornerback from San Diego State going to the Seahawks.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Chris Johnson
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with MIA
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksMakai LemonNew York JetsApr 22, 2026
“I actually think they're more likely to take McKay lemon... at sixteen”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 20
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 16
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksKey MessadorTampa Bay BuccaneersApr 22, 2026
“I went with a key massador the edge out of Miami... as the fifteenth door opick”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Key Messador
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 15
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksRueben BainNew Orleans SaintsApr 22, 2026
“And that leaves ruben Bain for the Saints”
Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 15
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
“because I have the Chargers taking Proctor next”
Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Kadyn Proctor
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 64.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 64.84
- predicted pick:
- 22
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksCade McDonaldHouston TexansApr 22, 2026
“This is a meat and potato pick for the Texans... I just kind of have them checking a box here with Caden McDonald.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Cade McDonald
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 28
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksMonroe FreelingLos Angeles RamsApr 22, 2026
“My least favorite pick of the mock draft is Monroe Freeling the Georgia tackle to the Rams.”
Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Monroe Freeling
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 19
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksSpencer FanoPittsburgh SteelersApr 22, 2026
“I have the Steelers taking Spencer Fano tackle guard from Utah.”
Scored 59.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Spencer Fano
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 59.46
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 59.46
- predicted pick:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksC.J. AllenMinnesota VikingsApr 22, 2026
“I want the Vikings fans to come after me for giving them c J. Allen at linebacker, the Georgia product going at eighteen.”
Scored 21.95 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- C.J. Allen
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 21.95
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 53
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 21.95
- predicted pick:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksK.C. ConcepcionCarolina PanthersApr 22, 2026
“This is where I finally have concepcion going Carolina”
Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- K.C. Concepcion
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 24
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 19
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
“the Commanders are taking Jeremiah Love running back Notre Dame”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsNew York GiantsApr 22, 2026
“At five, the first of two Giants picks, I went with Caleb Downs, Ohio State.”
Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
“The tackle run continues with the Eagles. They go to Arizona State. Yes, they take Max Ihanachor”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Max Iheanachor
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 21
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 23
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesTennessee TitansApr 22, 2026
“in the end I went with Sonny Styles linebacker Ohio State... Sunny Styles to the Titan.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with WAS
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksJordyn TysonDallas CowboysApr 22, 2026
“I have the Cowboys taking Tyson just feels like a Cowboys type of move.”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Jordyn Tyson
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyArizona CardinalsApr 22, 2026
“But I did put him on the Cardinals... at the number three overall pick.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksDenzel BostonKansas City ChiefsApr 22, 2026
“I have the Chiefs taking Denzel Boston, Boston wide receiver out of Washington next... going to the Chiefs at twenty nine”
Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Denzel Boston
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 64.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 39
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 64.84
- predicted pick:
- 29
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksKeylan RutledgeMiami DolphinsApr 22, 2026
“Kaitlin Rutledge is a name you're hearing a lot more as a potential first round pick at guard Georgia Tech... or at least the guy for the Dolphins”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Keylan Rutledge
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 26
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 30
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseNew York JetsApr 22, 2026
“I chose rvel Reese going number two overall”
Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksMalachi LawrenceChicago BearsApr 22, 2026
“This is where I slotted Malachi Lawrence the Edge from E c F... I like him to the Bears here at twenty five”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Malachi Lawrence
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 23
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 25
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
“I think Fernanda Mendoza, obviously it's the best quarterback in this draft.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 33.08+66.92 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08
- skill:
- 66.92
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 33.08
- position:
- quarterback
- class size:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“Number one overall... is Fernando Mendoza going to the Raiders at number one overall, the Indiana kid.”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksKeldric FaulkSan Francisco 49ersApr 22, 2026
“I have the forty nine ers taking Keldric Falk next”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Keldric Faulk
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 31
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 27
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
“So the Chiefs are there at nine... I have them taking Francis Maliinoa from Miami tackle”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Francis Mauigoa
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksDillon ThienemanDallas CowboysApr 22, 2026
“We take the safety from Oregon by way of Purdue off the board... to get him at twenty”
Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Dillon Thieneman
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateCleveland BrownsApr 22, 2026
“which is Carnel Tait to the Cleveland Browns”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksBlake MillerDetroit LionsApr 22, 2026
“At seventeen, the Lions are up... But I have them taking Blake Miller, the tackle out of Clemson.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Blake Miller
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with DET
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksJermod McCoyNew England PatriotsApr 22, 2026
“Maybe I'm just wish casting because I have Jermond McCoy going next to the Patriots.”
Scored 4.82 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Jermod McCoy
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 4.82
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 101
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 4.82
- predicted pick:
- 31
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksKenyon SadiqBaltimore RavensApr 22, 2026
“Instead, I give them Kenyan Sadik, the tight end out of Oregon.”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Position Order CallsMansoor DelaneMiami DolphinsApr 22, 2026
“first cornerback off the board for Miami”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 12.64+87.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 27 at random averages 12.64
- skill:
- 87.36
- player:
- Mansoor Delane
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 12.64
- position:
- cornerback
- class size:
- 27
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb LomuCleveland BrownsApr 22, 2026
“so I have him ending the tackle run with Caleb Lomu, the tackle from Utah”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Caleb Lomu
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 28
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 24
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksMansoor DelaneMiami DolphinsApr 22, 2026
“I go Mansor Delane, the cornerback out of LSU, first cornerback off the board for Miami.”
Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.65
- player:
- Mansoor Delane
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.65
- Mock Draft PicksBenga YuanaNew York GiantsApr 22, 2026
“the Giants will get Benga. You wanta you want to draft him with the Giants at number ten overall from Penn State”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
“so maybe in this scenario, George Pickens is a very tradable asset next year and that's fine”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.