Cynthia Frelund · Jan 23, 2026
Frielan's model has the Broncos beating the Patriots straight up at home by about a point, and the Seahawks beating the Rams by two; she also affirms the Seahawks winning the Super Bowl.
“I have the Broncos winning it straight up, who by one point?”
said on air or in an interview · read the original →
3 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksJan 23, 2026
“I have the Broncos winning it straight up, who by one point?”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 10-7
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Super Bowl PicksJan 23, 2026
“we're not The Seahawks got it to win the Super Bowl. / Yep, you already know. Well, I mean I just ran my model”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksJan 23, 2026
“I'll take Seattle because I have a two point win. I'm going to stick with my math”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.