Colin Cowherd · Aug 13, 2025

Colin laid out his final 2025 NFL division-by-division predictions: Bills, Ravens, Texans and Broncos winning AFC divisions with Patriots, Bengals and Chiefs as AFC playoff teams; Eagles, Packers, Buccaneers and Seahawks winning NFC divisions with Commanders, Lions and Rams as NFC playoff teams. He also called the Patriots his most improved team and Seattle his shocker, and said Shedeur Sanders will start for Cleveland and Jordan Love will start Week 1.

“So the Eagles, Packers, Bucks, and Seahawks are the division winners.”

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

24 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Power RankingsAug 13, 2025
“NFC North Major change, Green Bay... The Lions, I'm dropping them to second... So I am taking the Bears from second to third, the Lions from first to second.”
Scored 25a naive guess scored 0+50 skill
How this was scored
skill:
50
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
25
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
3
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsAug 13, 2025
“I am going to move the Jags into the second spot... I'm gonna put them at second, Titans, third, Colts, fourth”
Scored 75a naive guess scored 100-50 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-50
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
75
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
3
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsAug 13, 2025
“Shadur is going to start. Mark my word”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
CLE
skill:
16.67
player:
Shedeur Sanders
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsAug 13, 2025
“I'll move the Niners from fourth to third... I think Seattle is gonna win the division... Commanders, Lions and Rams are the playoff teams”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
3
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsAug 13, 2025
“Do not worry about Jordan Love's non throwing hand. He will start Week one”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
GB
skill:
0
player:
Jordan Love
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsAug 13, 2025
“The East remains the same. Eagles, Commanders, Giants, Cowboys.”
Scored 70a naive guess scored 90-40 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-40
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
70
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsAug 13, 2025
“we go to the AFC North. It's going to stay the same. Bengals... Ravens are the best operation... Steelers have not been impressive... Cleveland ... probably finished fourth”
Scored 70a naive guess scored 90-40 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-40
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
70
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 13, 2025
“Patriots Bengals, Chiefs are playoff teams.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 13, 2025
“Patriots Bengals, Chiefs are playoff teams. Patriots Bengals new playoff teams”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 13, 2025
“the easiest pick in the NFL this year for a team that didn't make the playoffs last year and will this year is Cincinnati”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
CIN
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 13, 2025
“Commanders, Lions and Rams are the playoff teams”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsAug 13, 2025
“AFC East Bills are going to win it. Patriots are my most improved team... Dolphins coming out now... The Jets, I just structurally I have no idea their fourth”
Scored 90a naive guess scored 40+100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
40
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 13, 2025
“Commanders, Lions and Rams are the playoff teams”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 13, 2025
“Commanders, Lions and Rams are the playoff teams”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team CallsAug 13, 2025
“I'm gonna put Seattle. This is my shocker.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 13, 2025
“So Bill's Ravens, Texans, Broncos now winning their divisions.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 13, 2025
“So Bill's Ravens, Texans, Broncos now winning their divisions.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 13, 2025
“AFC West. I am flipping the Broncos and the Chargers. ... So Bill's Ravens, Texans, Broncos now winning their divisions.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 13, 2025
“that's an Eagles division ... So the Eagles, Packers, Bucks, and Seahawks are the division winners.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 13, 2025
“the more I look at Green Bay. They love their first round pick the more I like the Packers ... So the Eagles, Packers, Bucks, and Seahawks are the division winners.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 13, 2025
“I'm gonna put Seattle. This is my shocker. I think Seattle is gonna win the division.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 13, 2025
“Baker Mayfield playing with more maturity. I'm going to take them to win the division again”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team CallsAug 13, 2025
“Patriots are my most improved team in the NFL. Will be a wild team.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 13, 2025
“AFC East Bills are going to win it. ... So Bill's Ravens, Texans, Broncos now winning their divisions.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?