Rosenthal believes the Giants are more likely than not to trade Dexter Lawrence after contract talks reached an impasse, with the return possibly being something like a high third-round pick. He also predicts Arizona State's Max Ayanatra will be drafted in the first round, and that edge prospect Cassius Howell will post around 10 sacks as a rookie.

3 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Mock Draft PicksApr 16, 2026

  “They have their choice between Monroe Freeling or Max Ayanatra, who I think is going to go in the first round.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Max Iheanachor

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  21

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  100

  predicted pick:

  first round (picks 1–32)

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Trade and Signing CallsApr 16, 2026

  “My takeaway from these reports and from what Joe Shane said at his press conference just support my general feeling that a trade is more likely than not... I don't think it's crazy if it's like a high third round pick something like that.”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?

• Player Season NumbersApr 16, 2026

  “I don't know if Eric behind the glass is excited about a situational pass rusher with your first round pick, you will be when he gets like ten sacks as a rookie.”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?