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Damian Parson· Mar 25, 2026

Parson projected several mid-round defensive and receiver prospects: Cincinnati linebacker Jake Golde could sneak into the late first round, Georgia DT Christian Miller goes on day two (round two to three), Iowa State DT Dominique Orange in the third round, and Georgia State WR Ted Hurst in rounds two or three.

“I think this is a guy that I wouldn't be shocked to hear his name come off the board late first round.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Packers (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 72 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
day two, probably third round (picks 65–100)They said
82What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mock Draft PicksDomonique OrangeMar 25, 2026

    Domonique Orange to be picked “day two, probably third round” (picks 65–100)

    “I think day two, probably third round, he comes off the board.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Domonique Orange
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    82
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    day two, probably third round (picks 65–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksJake GoldayCincinnati BengalsMar 25, 2026

    Jake Golday to be picked “late first round” (picks 1–32)

    “I think this is a guy that I wouldn't be shocked to hear his name come off the board late first round”

    Close · 44Scored 43.91a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jake Golday
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    43.91
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    51
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    43.91
    predicted pick:
    late first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksTed HurstMar 25, 2026

    Ted Hurst to be picked “round two, round three”

    “I think a guy like like Ted Hurst, a team gets him round two, round three.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksChristian MillerMar 25, 2026

    Christian Miller to be picked “round two to round three”

    “I think the NFL team is gonna be able to draft him on day two... I think you can get him round two to round three for sure.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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