Marcus Mosher · Sep 10, 2024
Mosher's Week 2 power rankings place the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Panthers last. Along the way he suggests the Chargers look like a potential wild-card team, the Buccaneers could win the NFC South again, the Patriots may not be a playoff team, and Drew Lock will eventually replace Daniel Jones as the Giants' starter.
“The Buccaneers have won the NFC South in three straight seasons, and it wouldn't be a surprise if they did it again this year.”
published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original →
5 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Playoff PicksSep 10, 2024
“The Chargers are still a year away from being a legit contender in the AFC, but they have the look of a potential wild-card team right away.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAC
- skill:
- 194
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Power RankingsSep 10, 2024
“NFL Week 2 Power Rankings — 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. Carolina Panthers”
Scored 72.12a naive guess scored 67.38+9.21 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 9.21
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 72.12
- baseline:
- 67.38
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Depth Chart CallsSep 10, 2024
“It feels like it's only a matter of when, not if, Drew Lock will take over for Jones under center.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.17 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NYG
- skill:
- -16.17
- player:
- Drew Lock
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Playoff PicksSep 10, 2024
“New England might not be a playoff team in 2024, but given their defense, they will be a tough out for most teams.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersSep 10, 2024
“The Buccaneers have won the NFC South in three straight seasons, and it wouldn't be a surprise if they did it again this year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.