Danny Parkins · Jul 30, 2025

Filling in for Colin Cowherd, Parkins gave over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams for the 2025 season, plus specific win-total projections for several clubs.

“The Eagles are the best team in football. The Eagles aren't over team.”

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

23 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“I'm definitely picking them for over at ten and a half... That's still an eleven or twelve win team.”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+30 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
naive:
11.75
skill:
30
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
45
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“Over at nine and a half”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-30 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
naive:
9.25
skill:
-30
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
75
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“that's an under... For them at nine and a half... win seven eight games”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 55+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
MIN
naive:
11.25
skill:
10
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
55
predicted:
7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“The Packers are under at nine and a half... I think it's more like an eight win season for the Packers.”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 85-10 skill
How this was scored
team:
GB
naive:
9.75
skill:
-10
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
85
predicted:
8
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“the Raiders go over on six and a half”
Scored 20a naive guess scored 35-30 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
naive:
6.25
skill:
-30
what happened:
3
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
35
predicted:
7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“I think the Falcons are an overteam, same with the Panthers... They can win seven games.”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 75+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
CAR
naive:
6.75
skill:
10
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
75
predicted:
7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“They're a thirteen win team until proven otherwise.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
naive:
11.75
skill:
0
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
13
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“The Rams have won over ten games in six of the eight years with Sean McVay... I just can't quit the Rams”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 45+70 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
naive:
9.25
skill:
70
what happened:
12
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
45
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“then Ravens under eleven and a half... I think that they can be a ten win team”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 55+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
naive:
10.25
skill:
10
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
55
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“They're a nine or a ten win team this season.”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 15+90 skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
naive:
6.75
skill:
90
what happened:
11
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
15
predicted:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“The Eagles aren't over team. They're totals at eleven and a half”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 95-30 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
naive:
11.25
skill:
-30
what happened:
11
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
95
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“the Falcons get over on seven and a half wins”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
ATL
naive:
8.25
skill:
10
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
95
predicted:
8
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“Bills are a clear overteam at eleven and a half.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skill
How this was scored
team:
BUF
naive:
10.75
skill:
50
what happened:
12
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
75
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“The Giants are an over team for me at five and a half”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 65-10 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
naive:
5.75
skill:
-10
what happened:
4
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
65
predicted:
6
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“Bengals are double did you win team.”
Scored 20a naive guess scored 45-50 skill
How this was scored
team:
CIN
naive:
8.75
skill:
-50
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
45
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“Mike Tomlin's gonna get you to over eight and a half”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 85-10 skill
How this was scored
team:
PIT
naive:
9.25
skill:
-10
what happened:
10
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
85
predicted:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“I think they hit their over on five and a half wins... I think they can eke out six wins.”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 45-10 skill
How this was scored
team:
TEN
naive:
5.75
skill:
-10
what happened:
3
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
45
predicted:
6
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Player Season NumbersJul 30, 2025
“And Bryce Young continues to progress.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsJul 30, 2025
“This is an over for the Chargers.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team CallsJul 30, 2025
“If just a few things go right, the amount of upgrades that they had... The Bears will be better. They're a nine or a ten win team this season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing CallsJul 30, 2025
“I think they are a prime trade candidate. I hope Alvin Kamara does not finish the season with the Saints.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Seeding, Byes and Home FieldJul 30, 2025
“Buffalo is odds on favorite to be the one seed in the AFC”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersJul 30, 2025
“No one's caught up to them in this division... the biggest favorite to win a division of any team in the NFL”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?