Danny Parkins· Jul 30, 2025
Filling in for Colin Cowherd, Parkins gave over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams for the 2025 season, plus specific win-total projections for several clubs.
“The Eagles are the best team in football. The Eagles aren't over team.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
23 checkable claims — 18 season win totals, 1 division winner, 1 player season number, 1 seeding, byes and home field, 1 surprise team call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
20 of 23 have settled so far, averaging 52 out of 100, against 54.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
- Alvin Kamara
- Buffalo Bills
- Detroit Lions
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Minnesota Vikings
- Green Bay Packers
- Las Vegas Raiders
- Carolina Panthers
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Los Angeles Rams
- Baltimore Ravens
- Chicago Bears
- Philadelphia Eagles
- Atlanta Falcons
- New York Giants
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- Tennessee Titans
- Bryce Young
- Los Angeles Chargers
23 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Trade and Signing CallsAlvin KamaraJul 30, 2025
Alvin Kamara to move
“I think they are a prime trade candidate. I hope Alvin Kamara does not finish the season with the Saints.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Alvin Kamara
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- NO
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NO
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Division WinnersBuffalo BillsJul 30, 2025
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“No one's caught up to them in this division... the biggest favorite to win a division of any team in the NFL”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldBuffalo BillsJul 30, 2025
Buffalo Bills to take the top seed
“Buffalo is odds on favorite to be the one seed in the AFC”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- checked as:
- the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
- actual tier:
- visitor
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where they finished last season (host)
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- claimed seed:
- 1
- claimed tier:
- bye
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsDetroit LionsJul 30, 2025
Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins
“I'm definitely picking them for over at ten and a half... That's still an eleven or twelve win team.”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DET
- naive:
- 11.75
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 45
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsTampa Bay BuccaneersJul 30, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 10 wins
“Over at nine and a half”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TB
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- -30
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsMinnesota VikingsJul 30, 2025
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 7 wins
“that's an under... For them at nine and a half... win seven eight games”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 55+10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- MIN
- naive:
- 11.25
- skill:
- 10
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 55
- predicted:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsGreen Bay PackersJul 30, 2025
Green Bay Packers to finish with 8 wins
“The Packers are under at nine and a half... I think it's more like an eight win season for the Packers.”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 85-10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- GB
- naive:
- 9.75
- skill:
- -10
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsLas Vegas RaidersJul 30, 2025
Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 7 wins
“the Raiders go over on six and a half”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 35-30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LV
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- -30
- what happened:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 35
- predicted:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsCarolina PanthersJul 30, 2025
Carolina Panthers to finish with 7 wins
“I think the Falcons are an overteam, same with the Panthers... They can win seven games.”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 75+10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CAR
- naive:
- 6.75
- skill:
- 10
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsKansas City ChiefsJul 30, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 13 wins
“They're a thirteen win team until proven otherwise.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- naive:
- 11.75
- skill:
- 0
- what happened:
- 6
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsLos Angeles RamsJul 30, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to finish with 11 wins
“The Rams have won over ten games in six of the eight years with Sean McVay... I just can't quit the Rams”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 45+70 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAR
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- 70
- what happened:
- 12
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 45
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsBaltimore RavensJul 30, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 10 wins
“then Ravens under eleven and a half... I think that they can be a ten win team”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 55+10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- naive:
- 10.25
- skill:
- 10
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 55
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsChicago BearsJul 30, 2025
Chicago Bears to finish with 9 wins
“They're a nine or a ten win team this season.”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 15+90 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CHI
- naive:
- 6.75
- skill:
- 90
- what happened:
- 11
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 15
- predicted:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsPhiladelphia EaglesJul 30, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 12 wins
“The Eagles aren't over team. They're totals at eleven and a half”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 95-30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PHI
- naive:
- 11.25
- skill:
- -30
- what happened:
- 11
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 95
- predicted:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsAtlanta FalconsJul 30, 2025
Atlanta Falcons to finish with 8 wins
“the Falcons get over on seven and a half wins”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- ATL
- naive:
- 8.25
- skill:
- 10
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 95
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsBuffalo BillsJul 30, 2025
Buffalo Bills to finish with 12 wins
“Bills are a clear overteam at eleven and a half.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- naive:
- 10.75
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- 12
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsNew York GiantsJul 30, 2025
New York Giants to finish with 6 wins
“The Giants are an over team for me at five and a half”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 65-10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYG
- naive:
- 5.75
- skill:
- -10
- what happened:
- 4
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 65
- predicted:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsCincinnati BengalsJul 30, 2025
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 10 wins
“Bengals are double did you win team.”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 45-50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CIN
- naive:
- 8.75
- skill:
- -50
- what happened:
- 6
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 45
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsPittsburgh SteelersJul 30, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins
“Mike Tomlin's gonna get you to over eight and a half”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 85-10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- -10
- what happened:
- 10
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsTennessee TitansJul 30, 2025
Tennessee Titans to finish with 6 wins
“I think they hit their over on five and a half wins... I think they can eke out six wins.”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 45-10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TEN
- naive:
- 5.75
- skill:
- -10
- what happened:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 45
- predicted:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Bryce Young to record ? an unstated measure
“And Bryce Young continues to progress.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
- Season Win TotalsLos Angeles ChargersJul 30, 2025
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with ? wins
“This is an over for the Chargers.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
- Surprise Team CallsChicago BearsJul 30, 2025
Chicago Bears to beat expectations
“If just a few things go right, the amount of upgrades that they had... The Bears will be better. They're a nine or a ten win team this season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Trevor RipleyRoster Spot Calls · Dillon BellMiss · 0Ripley expects Max Brosmer to return to the Vikings on the practice squad after being waived, and thinks Dillon Bell may draw waiver interest but is also a practice squad candidate for Minnesota.
- Bucky BrooksRoster Spot Calls · Josh JohnsonMiss · 0Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Maximus PulleyMiss · 0Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood.
- Jason La CanforaRoster Spot Calls · Gerad LichtenhanMiss · 0La Canfora predicts the Ravens will keep several young players on their practice squad — DL Kaimon Rucker, LB Dominic DeLuca, LB Ethan Burke, CB Amani Oruwariye, OT Gerad Lichtenhan and QB Joe Fagnano — and expects the team to make at least one trade from its surplus of cornerbacks.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Nick Wright expects the Bills to beat the Lions comfortably in the Thursday night home opener, with Josh Allen shredding a depleted Detroit secondary, and he also picks a workmanlike Chiefs win over the Colts on Sunday night. He further predicts Tyreek Hill will end up on the Chiefs by around Halloween.
- Joel CorryTrade and Signing Calls · Baker MayfieldMiss · 0The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals · Dallas CowboysHit · 100Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.
- Richard ShermanSeason Win Totals · Washington CommandersMiss · 20Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking.
- Nick WrightSeason Win Totals · New England PatriotsMiss · 20Nick Wright walked through the Browns' quarterback situation and then gave leans and bets on every AFC team's win total, offering concrete win-count expectations for several clubs plus a call on Brock Bowers.
- John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals · San Francisco 49ersClose · 60Middlekauff says Denver's floor is ten wins, predicts Miami implodes to four or five wins and a top-three-or-four draft slot with Tyreek Hill traded, thinks the 49ers beat expectations with nine or ten wins, sees the Patriots at eight or nine wins, calls the Chargers over 9.5 a lock, expects Jared Goff to make five or six Pro Bowls, and says the Packers are flying under the radar.
- Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Cowherd takes the Titans over their five-and-a-half win total on the strength of Cam Ward and Brian Callahan, calls New England an eight-to-nine win team, picks Green Bay to win the NFC North, expects the Giants to lose all four games to Washington and Philadelphia, and sketches a quarterback ranking with C.J. Stroud around 10th and Baker Mayfield 11th.
- Nick WrightSeason Win Totals · Denver BroncosMiss · 20Nick Wright gave his early AFC win-total leans: overs on the Jets, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders, plus projected win ranges for the Dolphins, Texans, Chargers and Broncos, and predicted the Raiders take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6.