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Andrew Erickson· Dec 18, 2025

Erickson predicted the Chiefs could lose outright at Tennessee in a flat spot, with Tony Pollard finishing as a top-24 running back for a third straight week; he also called Darren Waller a likely TE1 in Week 16, Tetairoa McMillan a top-20 receiver against Tampa Bay, Omarion Hampton the week's RB1, Isaiah Likely a top-12 tight end in a Patriots win over the Ravens, and Audric Estime a smash flex play for the Saints.

“So I think that the Chiefs could lose outright to the Titans”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

6 checkable claims — 3 positional finishes, 2 game outcome picks and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 62.5 out of 100, against 48.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
1They said
39What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Positional FinishesOmarion HamptonLos Angeles ChargersDec 18, 2025

    Omarion Hampton to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points

    “Omaron Hampton RB one, Sison... I feel much better about this one for Omary and Hampton facing the Dallas Cowboys.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Omarion Hampton
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    12
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    RB
    ranked by:
    fantasy points
    difficulty:
    1.17
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — the startable tier at RB
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    24
    actual finish:
    39
    weeks left when called:
    3
    predicted finish:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Positional FinishesTony PollardTennessee TitansDec 18, 2025

    Tony Pollard to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points

    “I think Tony Pollard could kind of have another solid game like top twenty four running back two straight weeks. I think this is gonna be the third week in a row he can be a top twenty four guy.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Tony Pollard
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    12
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    RB
    ranked by:
    fantasy points
    difficulty:
    1.17
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    22
    actual finish:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    3
    predicted finish:
    24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksTennessee TitansDec 18, 2025

    Tennessee Titans to beat Chiefs

    “So I think that the Chiefs could lose outright to the Titans”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    TEN
    score:
    9-26
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    TEN
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

  • Depth Chart CallsAudric EstiméNew Orleans SaintsDec 18, 2025

    Audric Estimé to be 1st on the depth chart

    “there's a chance that he is the RB one for the New Orleans Saints this week. So this obviously comes with a caveat at Devin Neil Alvin Kamara don't play”

    Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 100-19.5 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NO
    skill:
    -19.5
    player:
    Audric Estimé
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    3
    actual slot:
    3
    difficulty:
    1.17
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

  • Positional FinishesIsaiah LikelyBaltimore RavensDec 18, 2025

    Isaiah Likely to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points

    “I think he's going to finish as a top twelve option in Week sixteen”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Isaiah Likely
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    12
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    TE
    ranked by:
    fantasy points
    difficulty:
    1.17
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    13
    actual finish:
    50
    weeks left when called:
    3
    predicted finish:
    12

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsDec 18, 2025

    New England Patriots to beat Ravens

    “Patriots are gonna win this game, obviously, so that'll be my part one of my prediction.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+117 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    28-24
    skill:
    117
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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