Jerry Ostroski· Apr 7, 2026
Ostrowski predicted edge rusher Malachi Lawrence would still be available in the third round, and said Iowa guard Bo Stevens will be the third player drafted off that Iowa offensive line.
“I think that's a guy... would be available in third round if we don't get edge earlier.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bills (podcast) · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 16.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksMalachi LawrenceApr 7, 2026
Malachi Lawrence to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)
“there's actually an edge rusher that I really, really like that I think we could pick up in the third round... I think we get them in the third.”
Miss · 16Scored 16.21a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Malachi Lawrence
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 16.21
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 23
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 16.21
- predicted pick:
- third round (picks 65–100)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Position Order CallsBo StevensApr 7, 2026
Bo Stevens to be the third drafted player off of that Iowa offensive line offensive line off the board
“I like Bo Stevens. I'm a big fan of Iowa lineman... He's a guy that will be the third drafted player off of that Iowa offensive line.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Jeff CavanaughRoster Spot Calls · Malachi LawrenceHit · 100Building his projected Cowboys 53-man roster on defense, Jeff keeps five interior linemen (Kenny Clark, Quentin, Tito Obonia, LT Overton, Bullard), six edge rushers including Von Miller, Malachi Lawrence and Marist Liufau while cutting Sam Williams, four linebackers with Jayshawn Barham starting, six corners including rookie Devin Moore, and four safeties including Marquise Bell.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Malachi LawrenceMiss · 16On Move the Sticks, Daniel Jeremiah gave his views on the 2026 draft class: he set his board (Jeremiah Love as the second-best player, Malinoi 12th, Fano 14th), ranked the top edge rushers Bailey-Reese-Bain, projected draft ranges for several prospects, and forecast measurables for a few players.
- Jaime EisnerMock Draft Picks · Malachi LawrenceMiss · 17An unsigned seven-round Seahawks mock draft projecting Seattle to take CB Colton Hood at No. 32, EDGE Malachi Lawrence at No. 64, RB Kaytron Allen at No. 96 and IOL Pat Coogan at No. 188 in 2026, with Coogan eventually becoming a starter.
- Chris ClarkMock Draft Picks · Malachi LawrenceHit · 100Reacting live to the Chiefs trading up to No. 6 for LSU cornerback Mansour Lane, Clark says Lane will immediately be a starter in Kansas City, and lists the edge/pass-rush prospects he thinks could be first-round options at pick 29.
- JP AcostaMock Draft Picks · Malachi LawrenceHit · 84In the show's first-round mock draft, JP Acosta made the odd-numbered picks, starting with Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 overall to Vegas and running through Blake Miller to the Patriots at 31.
- Ayrton OstleyMock Draft Picks · Malachi LawrenceMiss · 18Ausley walked through his final seven-round mock draft, having the 49ers take Utah offensive tackle Caleb Lomu at No. 27, Peter Woods to Houston at 28, TJ Parker to Kansas City at 29, Zion Young to the Chargers at 30, Arvel Reese to Arizona at 3, Dallas trading up to 8, Denver taking Mason Thomas at 58, the 49ers taking Malachi Lawrence at 62 and VJ Payne at 133.
More position order calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Nick WrightPosition Order Calls · Carnell TateHit · 100Nick Wright laid out his full mock draft 3.0 for the 2026 NFL Draft, pick by pick through the first round, and also predicted AJ Brown would finish top five in the NFL in receiving yards with the Patriots.
- Todd McShayPosition Order Calls · K.C. ConcepcionHit · 100McShay's mock draft 4.0 has Fernando Mendoza and David Bailey going 1-2 to the Raiders and Jets, the Saints trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Titans taking Jeremiah Love at 4, the Giants taking Francis Mauigoa at 5 (though he'd now switch to Sonny Styles), the Cowboys trading up to 6, the Jets trading up to 7 for Carnell Tate, and Arizona trading up to 30 for Ty Simpson. He also predicts seven offensive tackles go in the first round and that Love, Styles, Downs and Reese all go in the top seven.
- Nick ShookPosition Order Calls · Makai LemonClose · 71Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Keith SanchezPosition Order Calls · Jordyn TysonClose · 71As relayed by Harrison, Sanchez's latest mock draft has Carnell Tate going to Washington, Jordan Tyson as the first receiver off the board at No. 5 to the Giants, Makai Lemmon at 11 and Chris Brasel at 30 to Miami, Sonny Styles at No. 8 to New Orleans, and Caleb Downs at No. 13 to the Rams.
- Field YatesPosition Order Calls · Jordyn TysonHit · 100As relayed by Rich Eisen, Yates' two-round mock draft has Fernando Mendoza first overall, followed by three edge/defenders, Caleb Downs fifth, and a series of other named picks including Eli Stowers to Tampa Bay at 46.
- Mel KiperPosition Order Calls · Carnell TateHit · 100Kiper's post-free-agency mock draft, as relayed on the show, assigns specific prospects to specific picks through the top 20, including Fernando Mendoza at No. 2, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5 and CJ Allen to the Cowboys at No. 20.