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Jerry Ostroski· Apr 7, 2026

Ostrowski predicted edge rusher Malachi Lawrence would still be available in the third round, and said Iowa guard Bo Stevens will be the third player drafted off that Iowa offensive line.

I think that's a guy... would be available in third round if we don't get edge earlier.

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bills (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 16.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
third round (picks 65–100)They said
23What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Malachi Lawrence to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)

    there's actually an edge rusher that I really, really like that I think we could pick up in the third round... I think we get them in the third.

    Miss · 16Scored 16.21a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Malachi Lawrence
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    16.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    23
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    16.21
    predicted pick:
    third round (picks 65–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Bo Stevens to be the third drafted player off of that Iowa offensive line offensive line off the board

    I like Bo Stevens. I'm a big fan of Iowa lineman... He's a guy that will be the third drafted player off of that Iowa offensive line.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.