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Rich Eisen· Oct 29, 2025

Eisen delivered his weekly top-10 NFL power rankings entering Week 9, with the Lions first, and separately said the Rams would beat the Patriots on a neutral basis and that the Lions will win the NFC.

“The Lions lead my power rankings entering week number nine.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 1 conference champion, 1 game outcome pick and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 33.5 out of 100, against 16.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Los Angeles Rams to beat Patriots

    “Because I think if the Patriots played the Rams, I think the Rams win the game.”

    Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 22.92+68.25 skill
    How this was scored
    note:
    these two never played, so the pick is graded on the parts of it that happened
    skill:
    68.25
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    ceiling:
    66.67
    accuracy:
    66.67
    baseline:
    22.92
    opponent:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.56
    the naive guess:
    14 of 32 clubs reached the postseason, 8 won a game there
    weeks in the season:
    18
    right opponent:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    10
    picked won aplayoff game:
    yes
    picked reached the playoffs:
    yes
    opponent reached the playoffs:
    yes

    Think this is wrong?

  • Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl

    “I still still think they are going to win the NFC.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE,SEA
    difficulty:
    1.56
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Power RankingsOct 29, 2025

    “Number 10 on the list are the Bucks down one spot... the Bills... they're now at nine... I'm keeping the patriots at eight... number seven is? The Rams... Eagles... Down to six... cracking my top five... are the Denver Broncos... I kept the Chiefs right where they are at four. I kept the Packers right where they are at three. I kept the Colts right where they are at two... The Lions lead my power rankings entering week number nine.”

    Miss · 34Scored 33.94a naive guess scored 25.45+13.24 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    13.24
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    33.94
    baseline:
    25.45
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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