Cynthia Frelund · Jan 16, 2026
Frelund picks the Rams to beat the Bears in the frigid divisional round game by more than four points, and takes the Broncos to beat the Bills at home by more than a point. Her model also has the Patriots beating the Texans by two, though she declines to make it her official pick.
“I think this week, in freezing cold conditions, they pull through and they win by more than four points, and that's the rams”
said on air or in an interview · read the original →
3 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksJan 16, 2026
“I have the Texans by two, so technically I have the Patriot Sorry, the Patriots by two, so the Texans technically on the right side of that.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 16-28
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksJan 16, 2026
“Picking Denver in the home upset against the Bills... I think that the Broncos in this one, I think that they win, and I think they win by more than one point.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 30-33
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksJan 16, 2026
“I think this week, in freezing cold conditions, they pull through and they win by more than four points, and that's the rams”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 20-17
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0