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Simon Hunter· Feb 25, 2025

Simon says Jackson Dart, as a pocket passer in today's NFL, will likely be drafted late in the first round rather than as a top-ten pick.

“he's probably gonna be back towards the end of the first round just because he's not this young stud athlete”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
towards the end of the first round (picks 1–32)They said
25What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Jaxson Dart to be picked “towards the end of the first round” (picks 1–32)

    “Dart is a good quarterback. He's a pocket passer ten years ago, Chad, he's probably a top five, top ten pick right now. You know, he's probably gonna be back towards the end of the first round”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jaxson Dart
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    25
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    towards the end of the first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

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