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Nick Wright· Apr 6, 2026

Nick Wright presented his 'mock draft 1.0' for the 2026 NFL draft, naming players at picks 1 through 32, and predicted the Lakers could win a first-round playoff series if Luka returns by Game 3. He also called Jokic the best player in the league and picked Michigan to beat UConn in the national title game.

It's predictive. It's not it's not instructive on what they should do.

said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →

32 checkable claims — 30 mock draft picks and 2 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 56 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

30 of 32 have settled so far, averaging 78.7 out of 100, against 48.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
Lions' first-round pick (picks 1–32)They said
22What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

32 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Akheem Mesidor to be picked “Lions' first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    The Lions still need an edge rusher opposite Aidan Hutchinson. They go with Messador

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Akheem Mesidor
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    Lions' first-round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82

    Think this is wrong?

  • Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 pick to the Cardinals” (picks 1–10)

    Now the Cardinals, once upon a time, picked a linebacker in the top 10... I think Sonny Styles potentially goes there.

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 pick to the Cardinals (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82

    Think this is wrong?

  • David Bailey to be picked at number 8

    I think the best pure pass rusher in the draft, David Bailey... David Bailey to the Saints.

    Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82

    Think this is wrong?

  • Blake Miller to be picked “49ers' first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    They go offensive line with Blake Miller from Clemson.

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Blake Miller
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    17
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    49ers' first-round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82

    Think this is wrong?

  • Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    The number one pick, shocker. Fernando Mendoza.

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    Number two pick, Arbel Reese, linebacker, Ohio State, maybe the best defensive player in the draft.

    Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Carnell Tate to be picked at number 5

    Carnell Tate to the Giants... We're gonna check it back in with pick number five.

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7

    Caleb Downs, then to Washington... available at seven

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9

    I believe the Chiefs would run to the podium to draft Reuben Bain

    Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 10

    The number one tight end... Kenyan Saddiq out of Oregon... That is top 10 at mock draft one point o.

    Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 12

    The top corner... Delaney out of, LSU, everyone's top corner in this draft. Cowboys ... so they take him.

    Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Mansoor Delane
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Makai Lemon to be picked “Rams' first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    but Lemon out of USC to the Rams

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    Rams' first-round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 6

    Number six to the Browns... Maunoga, I apologize if I mispronounced your last name, young man, out of Miami, the star right tackle

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Francis Mauigoa
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked at number 22

    So they take one of the top interior offensive linemen Pregnant out of Oregon at 22.

    Miss · 6Scored 5.73 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Emmanuel Pregnon
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    5.73
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    88
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    5.73
    predicted pick:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Monroe Freeling to be picked “first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    Get the get Wilds guy, Bryce Young, some offensive line help with Monroe Freeland ... Out of Georgia.

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Monroe Freeling
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    19
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first-round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Ty Simpson to be picked “Jets' first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    Ty Simpson, quarterback out of Alabama, goes to the Jets.

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    Jets' first-round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Keldric Faulk to be picked “Buccaneers' first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    They take another swing at it with Kendrick Falk out of Auburn.

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Keldric Faulk
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    31
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    Buccaneers' first-round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jordyn Tyson to be picked “Vikings' first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    The Vikings, Jordan Tyson

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    Vikings' first-round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Spencer Fano to be picked at number 11

    Dolphins on the clock, pick number 11... take Fan o the tackle out of Utah.

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Max Iheanachor to be picked “Texans' first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    The Texans always need to address offensive line. They go again... Ian Ocher out of Arizona State.

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Max Iheanachor
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    21
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    Texans' first-round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • C.J. Allen to be picked “second Cowboys pick in the top 20” (picks 1–20)

    They take not a pass rushing linebacker, more of a traditional linebacker, and CJ Allen out of Georgia

    Miss · 24Scored 23.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    C.J. Allen
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    23.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    53
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    23.94
    predicted pick:
    second Cowboys pick in the top 20 (picks 1–20)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cade McDonald to be picked at number 21

    the Steelers... on the board at twenty one... So I think Caden McDonald

    Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Cade McDonald
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Omar Cooper to be picked “Eagles' first-round pick (trade)” (picks 1–32)

    The Eagles, I believe, anticipating an AJ Brown trade, end up trading for Omar Cooper, the national champion out of Indiana.

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Omar Cooper
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    30
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    Eagles' first-round pick (trade) (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jermod McCoy to be picked “Cleveland's second first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    And the Browns Browns again this to me is the McCoy probably would have been a top 12 pick... if you're Cleveland with your second first round pick

    Miss · 5Scored 5.03 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Jermod McCoy
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    5.03
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    101
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    5.03
    predicted pick:
    Cleveland's second first-round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kadyn Proctor to be picked “Bears' first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    Caden Proctor, coach, he's the tackle from Alabama... and so we have him going there.

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Kadyn Proctor
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    12
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    Bears' first-round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked “Dolphins' second first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    This Dolphins also take a safety, McNeil Ward out of Toledo or McNeil Warren, pardon me, out of Toledo.

    Miss · 32Scored 32.42 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    32.42
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    58
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    32.42
    predicted pick:
    Dolphins' second first-round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Denzel Boston to be picked “Patriots' first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    they take Denzel Boston out of Washington

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Denzel Boston
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    39
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    Patriots' first-round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cashius Howell to be picked “Seahawks' first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    add to their defensive depth with Cassius Howell, the edge rusher out of Texas A and M

    Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.24 against a shuffle’s 50+34.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.24
    player:
    Cashius Howell
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    67.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    41
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    67.71
    predicted pick:
    Seahawks' first-round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.24

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kenyon Sadiq to be 1st tight end off the board

    The number one tight end, a guy who has in a good way, gotten some Kyle Pitts comps

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 15.51+84.49 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 22 at random averages 15.51
    skill:
    84.49
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    15.51
    position:
    tight end
    class size:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board

    Ty Simpson most likely would be that second name called.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 39.7+60.3 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7
    skill:
    60.3
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    39.7
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    2
    predicted order:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • A.J. Terrell to be picked “Bills' first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    They take another shot at it with Terrell out of Clemson.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jeremiyah Love to be picked “to Tennessee at No. 4”

    He's gonna go to Tennessee... Jeremiah Love to the Titans is a pick a lot of people see coming.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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