Peter Schrager · Jan 11, 2025
Reviewing his preseason picks, Schrager refused to back off: he still has the Chiefs winning the Super Bowl and doubled down on the Packers, who entered the playoffs as the NFC's seventh seed, representing the NFC in the Super Bowl. He also ranked the top 10 rookie performances of 2024 and named Jared Verse his Defensive Rookie of the Year.
“I am not backing away from my Super Bowl pick... I got the Chiefs winning at all this year.”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Super Bowl PicksKansas City ChiefsJan 11, 2025
“I am not backing away from my Super Bowl pick is usually pretty good. I got the Chiefs winning at all this year. We'll see if that happens.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- champion:
- PHI
- runner up:
- KC
- naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Top Player ListsJan 11, 2025
“We're going to give you an end of season list, a recap of the top ten rookie performances in twenty twenty four... Let's start with number ten... Ladd McConkie is number ten... Jayden Daniels comes in at number one in twenty twenty four as our most decorated rookie”
Scored 87.5a naive guess scored 50+37.5 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 37.5
- placed:
- 6
- season:
- 2024
- players:
- 10
- accuracy:
- 87.5
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 3: 100, WR 3: 75
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksJared VerseLos Angeles RamsJan 11, 2025
“that award is going to go to Los Angeles this year with number seven on the list, and that's Jared First... Jared Vers upfront was one of the reasons he is my defensive Rookie of the Year. We'll see how that plays out at NFL Honors.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- defensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Will Anderson Jr., who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Jared Verse
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Jared Verse
- correct:
- true
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Conference ChampionsGreen Bay PackersJan 11, 2025
“The NFC will be represented by... Jordan Love, Matt Lafleur and the Green Bay Packers... I think they go on the wild ride right now. And I'm gonna double down. Packers to the super Bowl.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.