What's Wright with Nick Wright · Aug 28, 2025

Wright picked Chiefs over 11.5, Buccaneers over 9.5, Raiders over 6.5 (plus a Raiders playoff berth), Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Jaguars over 7.5, and Bengals under 9.5 with Zac Taylor fired after missing the playoffs. He also had Commanders and Eagles both 11-6 with Washington winning the NFC East.

“I'll go with the Chiefs to hit their over like they do literally every single year.”

said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →

10 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Team Draft Slot Calls Indianapolis ColtsAug 28, 2025
“Yes, I think they could have the number one pick of the draft.”
Scored 10.51a naive guess scored 18.46-15.9 skill
How this was scored
team:
IND
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 14 the year before
skill:
-15.9
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
10.51
baseline:
18.46
actual pick:
53
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Washington CommandersAug 28, 2025
“So I had the Commanders and the Eagles both eleven and six.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
naive:
10.25
skill:
0
what happened:
5
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Philadelphia EaglesAug 28, 2025
“So I had the Commanders and the Eagles both eleven and six.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
naive:
11.25
skill:
10
what happened:
11
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
95
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Jacksonville JaguarsAug 28, 2025
“the Jaguars over seven and a half... I think they can get to ten. So I will go over Jacksonville.”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 0+80 skill
How this was scored
team:
JAX
naive:
6.25
skill:
80
what happened:
13
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
0
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Tampa Bay BuccaneersAug 28, 2025
“that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers over nine and a half”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-30 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
naive:
9.25
skill:
-30
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
75
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Kansas City ChiefsAug 28, 2025
“that is the nobody believes in US underdog Kansas City Chiefs to go over eleven and a half wins”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
naive:
11.75
skill:
0
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Las Vegas RaidersAug 28, 2025
“And that is the Las Vegas Raiders... I need seven wins for this. I think the Raiders over is a very very healthy bet.”
Scored 20a naive guess scored 35-30 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
naive:
6.25
skill:
-30
what happened:
3
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
35
predicted:
7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Las Vegas RaidersAug 28, 2025
“And listen, I on my show, I picked the Raiders to make the playoffs.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals New Orleans SaintsAug 28, 2025
“There's two teams in that division that could have the number one pick of the draft... The Saints, I do think will be that bad.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Washington CommandersAug 28, 2025
“the Commander's baith on strength of scheduled tiebreaker or they're gonna win the division”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?