Middlekauff predicts Kirk Cousins will be cut within about a week, that Sam Darnold will land a multi-year deal worth roughly $100 million as an immediate starter, that Jaxson Dart will gain momentum as a potential first-round pick, that cam Ward may skip throwing at the combine, and that Derek Stingley will get around $100 million this offseason.

“I still think at minimum he's going to get a Baker Mayfield this year, one hundred million dollars type contest, isn't he?”

3 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft Picks Jaxson DartMar 1, 2025
“I would throw Jackson Darton here, who I think is gonna gain some momentum as a potential first round pick”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
potential first round pick (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
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Depth Chart Calls Sam DarnoldMar 1, 2025
“So I think Darnold would be the one guy that would just get signed and immediately become, you know, kind of not your long term starter, but at least in the immediate next couple of year starter.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
SEA
skill:
0
player:
Sam Darnold
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
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Trade and Signing Calls Kirk CousinsMar 1, 2025
“let's face the Colin They're probably gonna cut him in the next seven ten days. Yeah, he's going to get cut.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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