LaVar Arrington · Sep 4, 2025

Arrington picked division winners in both conferences, had Baltimore beating Buffalo to reach the Super Bowl and Philadelphia beating Green Bay in the NFC, with the Ravens winning it all.

“you have a Ravens Eagle Super Bowl and I have Baltimore actually winning the Super Bowl.”

said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →

19 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Playoff Picks Baltimore RavensSep 4, 2025
“And I have Baltimore, Jacksonville and Pittsburgh as wildcard teams.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Pittsburgh SteelersSep 4, 2025
“And I have Baltimore, Jacksonville and Pittsburgh as wildcard teams.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PIT
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Baltimore RavensSep 4, 2025
“Buffalo Will end up playing Baltimore and Baltimore will win to make it to the super Bowl.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
40-41
skill:
-200
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Green Bay PackersSep 4, 2025
“I see Green Bay, Washington and the Rams being the wildcard teams”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
GB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Washington CommandersSep 4, 2025
“I see Green Bay, Washington and the Rams being the wildcard teams”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Los Angeles RamsSep 4, 2025
“I see Green Bay, Washington and the Rams being the wildcard teams”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Philadelphia EaglesSep 4, 2025
“the teams that will emerge from there will be Philly and I do believe Green Bay, but I believe that Philadelphia finds a way to win”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
PHI
score:
10-7
skill:
200
they picked:
PHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive pick:
GB
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Super Bowl Picks Baltimore RavensSep 4, 2025
“and I have Baltimore actually winning the Super Bowl”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Jacksonville JaguarsSep 4, 2025
“And I have Baltimore, Jacksonville and Pittsburgh as wildcard teams.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
JAX
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Philadelphia EaglesSep 4, 2025
“On the NFC side, I have Philly, Tampa, Bay, Minnesota, and Arizona winning their divisions”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Los Angeles ChargersSep 4, 2025
“Cincinnati into AFC, Buffalo, Houston and the Chargers as divisional or conference the division champion”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Conference Champions Philadelphia EaglesSep 4, 2025
“they advanced to the Super Bowl, and you have a Ravens Eagle Super Bowl”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Tampa Bay BuccaneersSep 4, 2025
“On the NFC side, I have Philly, Tampa, Bay, Minnesota, and Arizona winning their divisions”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Arizona CardinalsSep 4, 2025
“On the NFC side, I have Philly, Tampa, Bay, Minnesota, and Arizona winning their divisions”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Conference Champions Baltimore RavensSep 4, 2025
“Baltimore will win to make it to the super Bowl”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Buffalo BillsSep 4, 2025
“Cincinnati into AFC, Buffalo, Houston and the Chargers as divisional or conference the division champion”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Houston TexansSep 4, 2025
“Cincinnati into AFC, Buffalo, Houston and the Chargers as divisional or conference the division champion”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Minnesota VikingsSep 4, 2025
“On the NFC side, I have Philly, Tampa, Bay, Minnesota, and Arizona winning their divisions”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Cincinnati BengalsSep 4, 2025
“I got Cincinnati into AFC, Buffalo, Houston and the Chargers as ... the division champion”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?