Pelissero predicts Fernando Mendoza goes No. 1 overall to the Raiders and that Ty Simpson is the only other QB in the class seen as a possible early starter.

2 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas RaidersFeb 26, 2026

  Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

  “You have a draft where Fernando Mendoza, we all assume and believe he's going number one to the Raiders.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Fernando Mendoza

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  1

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  100

  predicted pick:

  1

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Position Order CallsTy SimpsonFeb 26, 2026

  Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board

  “After that, the only other quarterback that somebody might think can be a starter sooner than later is probably Tye Simpson from Alabama.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 39.7+60.3 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7

  skill:

  60.3

  player:

  Ty Simpson

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  credit halves every two places

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  39.7

  position:

  quarterback

  class size:

  10

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  actual order:

  2

  predicted order:

  2

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?