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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.4% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 14 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 15 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
1101–1125 of 2,177
15 / 2,177
graded
2,162 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 11 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 17 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 9 articles (2 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 16 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
James Cook to outplay his draft cost (ADP 11.31 | RB6)
James Cook (BUF) – ADP 11.31 | RB6 ... making Cook one of my favorite players to draft this year.
K.C. Concepcion to outplay his draft cost (ADP 129.28 | WR53)
KC Concepcion (CLE) – ADP 129.28 | WR53 ... Concepcion remains my favorite Cleveland wide receiver for 2026.
D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (ADP 54.46 | RB24)
D'Andre Swift (CHI) – ADP 54.46 | RB24 ... Some believe that Kyle Monangai will replace Swift as the Bears' starting running back this season. However, there is nothing to suggest that it will happen.
Chris Olave to be 1st on the depth chart
While Chris Olave will remain the Saints' clear-cut top option in the passing game
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart
Insert Malik Willis as QB1 in Miami, who will definitely rely on his legs a ton in 2026.
Rico Dowdle to fall short of his draft cost (RB32, 86th overall)
Dowdle was at RB32, 86th overall. ... it's possible Dowdle has a smaller role than some expect.
Rico Dowdle to be 2nd on the depth chart
My money is on Warren as Pittsburgh's primary running back this year, and it's possible Dowdle has a smaller role than some expect.
Jaylen Warren to be 1st on the depth chart
My money is on Warren as Pittsburgh's primary running back this year
TreVeyon Henderson to be 1st on the depth chart
I'd expect we get closer to a pre-postseason split between these two RBs to start the year, where Henderson has closer to a 60-40 split
Rhamondre Stevenson to be 2nd on the depth chart
I'd expect we get closer to a pre-postseason split between these two RBs to start the year, where Henderson has closer to a 60-40 split
De'Von Achane to outplay his draft cost (ADP of RB9 (15th overall))
before finally reaching my conclusion on whether he truly warrants a full fade, given his ADP of RB9 (15th overall) ... even paying the full mobility tax, the floor is elite
David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart
Montgomery has bell-cow potential as Houston’s lead running back, and he has the chops as a runner and receiver to warrant a hefty workload.
David MontgomeryHouston Texans
Javonte Williams to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points
At his floor, he looks like a low-end RB1 or top 15 fantasy back.
Blake Corum to be 2nd on the depth chart
At worst, Blake Corum will be the backup to Kyren Williams all season
Blake Corum to outplay his draft cost (RB34 (96th overall))
A down season for Corum in 2026 would be a small miss, since his ADP as of this writing is RB34 (96th overall). ... This is a bet worth making.
Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (Round 7 or 8)
I'm not afraid to pull the trigger on Herbert in Round 7 or 8 (if he falls).
Kenneth Walker III to be 1st on the depth chart
Walker should get a chance to be a workhorse for Andy Reid's Chiefs.
Kyren Williams to be 1st on the depth chart
At worst, Blake Corum will be the backup to Kyren Williams all season in what should be an outstanding Rams offense.
Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round)
His offensive line should be healthier and better, and the arrival of offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel could help unlock the sort of big passing numbers that Herbert produced in his first three seasons.
Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (the first four rounds)
There are three tight ends guaranteed to land in the first four rounds: Brock Bowers, Trey McBride, and Colston Loveland. I'm willing to draft Bowers and Loveland at cost, but not McBride.
Jerry Jeudy to fall short of his draft cost (the late rounds)
But there is no reason to draft Jeudy in 2026. The Browns just spent early-round draft picks on WRs KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston.
Brock Purdy to outplay his draft cost (a late-eighth-round ADP)
Brock Purdy has a late-eighth-round ADP... I would rather have a Brock Purdy/Ladd McConkey combo than a Josh Allen/Michael Wilson combo.
Kyle Pitts to outplay his draft cost (being drafted in the seventh round)
The much-maligned Kyle Pitts is being drafted in the seventh round... Kevin Stefanski is the Falcons' new head coach, and the tight ends in Stefanski's Cleveland offenses averaged 164.3 targets over the last three seasons.
if I draw either the 1.01 or 1.02 spot, I'm drafting Bijan Robinson or Jahmyr Gibbs... I slightly prefer Bijan... Picks 1.03, 1.04, and 1.05 are where the Big Three at wide receiver dwell: Ja'Marr Chase, Puka Nacua, and Jaxson Smith-Njigba. Those three are my third, fourth, and fifth picks in start-3WR leagues.
Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (a late-third-round ADP)
The talent pool is so deep that it's not worth sacrificing the chance to draft a top-20 running back or receiver for the chance to take Josh Allen, the consensus QB1. Allen has a late-third-round ADP.