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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
95.96% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where First Things First (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 11 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
476–500 of 525
241 / 525
graded
284 still pending
Seattle Seahawks to win
To the next game, Seattle minus seven against San Francisco... I expect another great performance from the Seahawks
New England Patriots to win
But the right pick is Patriots minus three.
who do I trust, you know, in the fourth quarter of a playoff game... my list would be Patrick one, Stafford two, Allen three.
Los Angeles Rams 42 — Bears 28
I think the Rams are gonna score 40 points... This feels to me like 42 to 28. So I will take the Rams minus four and a half.
Buffalo Bills to win
Bills Bills are the better team... I think Josh Allen's about to dog walk them. Bills plus one and a half.
Matthew Stafford to record 5 passing tds
I think Stafford could have five touchdown passes.
Seattle Seahawks to win
Niners plus seven. I don't think the Niners are gonna win, but I also think that they are going to be able to keep it close.
Buffalo Bills to win
So you got Trevor Lawrence being impactful, but the Bills ultimately winning. Yes.
Justin Herbert to win MVP
So I I picked Herbert to be my MVP after Burrow went down.
Chicago Bears 28 — Packers 24
I'll take the bears at home plus a point and a half. The bears win twenty eight twenty four.
Los Angeles Rams 31 — Panthers 10
Rams, 31. Panthers, 10, take the 10 and a half.
New England Patriots 24 — Chargers 21
I think the Patriots are gonna win. I think they're gonna win by three points... This feels to me like twenty four twenty one Patriots
Chicago Bears to win
the bears are not losing this game. They're just not... This Bears team in this spot will not lose.
Puka Nacua to make First-Team All-Pro
Puka will be first team all pro. Carolina, not gonna have an answer for Puka Nakula.
Buffalo Bills to win
Bills minus one and a half against Jacksonville. Here's the thing. Josh Allen, he's played 13 playoff games.
Philadelphia Eagles to win
lay in five and a half with Philly is obvious here... Eagles in a blowout.
Los Angeles Chargers to win
Justin Herbert is very good. I mean, I'm I'm picking him to win the game... I'm taking Chargers plus three and a half against the Patriots.
Houston Texans to win
And then on Monday, the Texans minus three against the Steelers. Very simple.
Houston Texans to win
I got Philly. I got Houston.
Los Angeles Chargers to win
Because I like to go big game, honey, I'm a take the chargers... I'm going with the charges.
Philadelphia Eagles 28 — San Francisco 20
So I I think I see Philly winning something like twenty eight twenty.
Los Angeles Rams to win
I got the Rams. I'm sorry, coach.
Green Bay Packers to win
Look. I got Green Bay over Chicago. I'm sticking with the Packers.
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
That's a stealers over Texans straight up. Is that what you wanted to hear? Because that's what I believe.
Carolina Panthers to win
I still think that there's a nice opportunity here for Carolina... Carolina could do it again.