Chris Brockman· Apr 21, 2025
Brockman predicts Shedeur Sanders is drafted late in the first round by a good team that doesn't need him right away and will sit as a backup, and says Ashton Jeanty — whom he calls the second-best player in the draft behind Travis Hunter — goes in the top five.
“He gets drafted late first round. By a team that's good, I think.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks, 1 depth chart call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 62.7 out of 100, against 63.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall picktop five (picks 1–5)They said
6What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksAshton JeantyApr 21, 2025
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
“I think Ashton Gentry is going in the top five.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- top five (picks 1–5)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Depth Chart CallsShedeur SandersApr 21, 2025
Shedeur Sanders to be 2nd on the depth chart
“I think he's going to be drafted by a team that doesn't immediately need him. I think he's gonna end up sitting”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CLE
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Mock Draft PicksShedeur SandersApr 21, 2025
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “late first round” (picks 1–32)
“He gets drafted late first round. By a team that's good, I think.”
Miss · 1Scored 0.78a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.78
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 144
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.78
- predicted pick:
- late first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Top Player ListsApr 21, 2025
“Best players in the draft. Right? Yeah. Travis Hunter is one. I think this kid is number two.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Rich EisenRoster Spot Calls · Shedeur SandersHit · 100Eisen predicted the same AFC North order as TJ Jefferson — Ravens win the division, Steelers second, Bengals third, Browns last — and said the Steelers make the playoffs again. He also said Shedeur Sanders will make the Browns' 53-man roster and that Dillon Gabriel would be the backup if Flacco goes down, with Flacco as starter.
- Kyle BrandtRoster Spot Calls · Shedeur SandersHit · 100Brandt doubted Shedeur Sanders would make the Browns' 53-man roster given the crowded QB room, while predicting Cleveland keeps third-rounder Dillon Gabriel. He also had sky-high expectations for Cam Skattebo with the Giants, joking about Rookie of the Year, Offensive Player of the Year and MVP.
- Tom PelisseroMock Draft Picks · Ashton JeantyHit · 100Pelissero says Cam Ward is the Titans' pick at the top of the 2025 draft and that Travis Hunter is most likely the Browns' selection at No. 2; he also endorses Tyler Warren as a top-10 pick, expects Ashton Jeanty inside the top 10, and names five under-the-radar players who could sneak into round one, including Emeka Egbuka between picks 20-25 and Tyler Shough (whom he pegs more likely as a Day 2 pick).
- Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks · Shedeur SandersMiss · 0Cowherd delivered his own top-15 draft board — what he would do as GM of each team — pairing prospects with picks 1 through 15, and separately argued Shedeur Sanders is a far better prospect than Daniel Jones and that Aaron Rodgers should retire.
- Peter SchragerMock Draft Picks · Shedeur SandersMiss · 0Schrager expects the top of the draft to be quarterback-driven, with Cam Ward going first overall and Shedeur Sanders second. He also thinks Sam Darnold returns to Minnesota, Justin Fields starts somewhere (likely staying in Pittsburgh rather than joining the Jets), and the Eagles lose free agents like Milton Williams and Josh Sweat.
- Peter SchragerMock Draft Picks · Ashton JeantyHit · 100Schrager laid out his top 10 prospects entering the 2025 combine, with Travis Hunter first, Abdul Carter second and Tyler Warren third, and attached draft-range calls to several of them — Will Johnson in the first round, Mason Graham a top-five pick, Ashton Jeanty a first-rounder, Tyler Warren not escaping the top ten, and Cam Ward a top-five to top-ten pick who will start as a rookie.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.