Fantasy Bust Calls

Malik Willis to fall short of his draft cost (FantasyPros Ranking: QB21)

Malik Willis (QB – MIA) FantasyPros Ranking: QB21 ... There's a lot going against Willis that make it hard to see him as a top-20 fantasy quarterback on a weekly basis.

Malik WillisMiami Dolphins

Brock Purdy to fall short of his draft cost (FantasyPros Ranking: QB11)

Brock Purdy (QB – SF) FantasyPros Ranking: QB11 ... All that to say that Purdy would need a lot of things to go right, including everyone staying healthy, to get close to a QB11 fantasy finish.

Brock PurdySan Francisco 49ers

Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted as a midrange or low-end RB2)

That volume is appealing when you consider that Judkins is being drafted as a midrange or low-end RB2... Quinshon Judkins looks like a volume trap.

Quinshon JudkinsCleveland Browns

Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (1.03)

Players to Avoid at 1.03 Fantasy Football Draft Pick — Christian McCaffrey (RB – SF) ... McCaffrey is a stronger pick slightly later than this.

Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers

Jonathan Taylor to fall short of his draft cost (the third overall pick)

Another tough fade for this selection is Jonathan Taylor ... do you deserve to be drafted with the third overall pick when your quarterback is coming off said achilles injury

Jonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts

Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP of WR12 (30th overall))

Now, Rice has an ADP of WR12 (30th overall). I'm fleeing at that price.

Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (low-end fantasy football WR2)

The FantasyPros ECR is pricing Davante Adams as a low-end fantasy football WR2... it's easy to recognize that Adams is far more likely to fall off than to replicate what he did last year.

Davante AdamsLos Angeles Rams

Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (ADP sits right around where Ladd McConkey goes)

Josh Allen’s ADP sits right around where Ladd McConkey goes ... a Purdy/McConkey combo of two weekly starters beats an Allen/Wilson combo

Josh Allen

Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (the second round)

he’s comfortable taking Brock Bowers or Colston Loveland at their going rate in the second round, but not Trey McBride, whose value is tied to a huge target total in Arizona that’s likely to shrink

Trey McBrideArizona Cardinals

Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP Wide Receiver eleven ... overall ADP twenty nine)

He's outside of the top ten ... I just agree a lot with what Fits is saying

Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP Wide Receiver eleven ... overall ADP twenty nine)

So I'm I'm fading the heck out of these Rashi Rice projections. I just there's so many ways this could go wrong.

Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

Travis Etienne to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 40 | (RB19))

Travis Etienne (RB – NO) ADP: 40 | (RB19) ... this backfield could still be split more than Etienne’s contract and ADP suggest.

Travis EtienneNew Orleans Saints

George Kittle to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 91 | (TE9))

George Kittle (TE – SF) ADP: 91 | (TE9) ... Kittle is easier to fade at TE9 than his name value and history might suggest.

George KittleSan Francisco 49ers

Michael Wilson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 104 | (WR44))

Michael Wilson (WR – ARI) ADP: 104 | (WR44) ... it looks like a value, but in reality, it’s a trap.

Michael WilsonArizona Cardinals

Jayden Daniels to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 59 | (QB5))

Jayden Daniels (QB – WAS) ADP: 59 | (QB5) ... he’s being priced at his ceiling ... let someone else bet on the bounce-back.

Jayden DanielsWashington Commanders

Luther Burden III to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 51 | (WR22))

Luther Burden III (WR – CHI) ADP: 51 | (WR22) ... Burden isn’t going to see 80 more targets just because Moore is gone. Some of the targets will go to Rome Odunze as well.

Luther Burden IIIChicago Bears

Bhayshul Tuten to fall short of his draft cost (low-end RB2)

Tuten is currently being drafted as a low-end RB2, but there is serious risk at that price. There is a real chance no one in this backfield can be trusted on a weekly basis.

Bhayshul TutenJacksonville Jaguars

Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (the wide receiver 16 this year)

It's Tetero McMillan. Going as the wide receiver 16 this year... wide receiver sixteen is crazy.

Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers

Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (at worst a second round pick)

It's Malik Neighbors... I'm assuming he's gonna ascend to at worst a second round pick... I'm not investing in a Matt Nagy offense.

Malik NabersNew York Giants

Dalton Kincaid to fall short of his draft cost (tight end 10)

Like I said, he's going here at tight end 10. I'd probably put him at, like, tight end 16.

Dalton KincaidBuffalo Bills

Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (RB 21 consensus)

It's Bucky Irvin... RB 21 consensus. I can't I can't do it... I think the environment that made him that good is gone.

Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers

Breece Hall to fall short of his draft cost (about the RB 16 right now)

here's a guy, around the three four turn at his current value, I will not be going anywhere near him in his breeze hall... especially going at the three four turn right now being about the RB 16 right now

Breece HallNew York Jets

Jaxon Smith-Njigba to fall short of his draft cost (drafted as the wide receiver three, at worst wide receiver four on some platforms)

But I could see Jackson Smith and Jigba who is being drafted as the wide receiver three, at worst wide receiver four on some platforms, finish as, like, wide receiver thirteen, fourteen, something like that.

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSeattle Seahawks

Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted as a top three fantasy running back)

CMC is being drafted as a top three fantasy running back this season. He is far too risky to buy into that and draft him that high.

Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers

Josh Jacobs to fall short of his draft cost (a fringe RB1)

Jacobs is being drafted as a fringe RB1, and better options are being drafted behind him.

Josh JacobsGreen Bay Packers