Fantasy Bust Calls
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 409
- Graded
- 38
- Average accuracy
- 57.9
- Pundits
- 47
9% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
38 / 409
graded
371 still pending
Who is good at fantasy bust calls
- Simon Hunter100 accuracy · 1 graded+200.0
- Derek Brown81 accuracy · 12 graded+125.0
- Andrew Erickson75 accuracy · 4 graded+100.0
- Chris Welsh75 accuracy · 4 graded+100.0
- Joe Pisapia50 accuracy · 4 graded+0.0
- Pat Fitzmaurice45 accuracy · 7 graded-20.0
- Jake Ciely33 accuracy · 4 graded-66.7
- Sean Kerner0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
- Ryan Wormeli0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)58.7 · 38 graded
Every fantasy bust calls take
326–350 of 409
Jaylen Warren to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)
That makes it tougher to bet on landing a big hit from team RB1 picks (per ADP) going later in Tony Pollard, Jaylen Warren, Chuba Hubbard, Rachaad White, and Aaron Jones
Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)
That makes it tougher to bet on landing a big hit from team RB1 picks (per ADP) going later in Tony Pollard, Jaylen Warren, Chuba Hubbard, Rachaad White, and Aaron Jones
Rachaad White to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)
That makes it tougher to bet on landing a big hit from team RB1 picks (per ADP) going later in Tony Pollard, Jaylen Warren, Chuba Hubbard, Rachaad White, and Aaron Jones
Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)
That makes it tougher to bet on landing a big hit from team RB1 picks (per ADP) going later in Tony Pollard, Jaylen Warren, Chuba Hubbard, Rachaad White, and Aaron Jones
Tony Pollard to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)
That makes it tougher to bet on landing a big hit from team RB1 picks (per ADP) going later in Tony Pollard, Jaylen Warren, Chuba Hubbard, Rachaad White, and Aaron Jones
- PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Dalton Kincaid to fall short of his draft cost (ECR: TE11)
if he plays limited snaps again this season and his efficiency numbers regress to career norms, Kincaid could disappoint. It’s best to regard him as a high-end TE2 for fantasy drafts.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 4, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Chig Okonkwo to fall short of his draft cost (ECR: TE17)
Okonkwo is an intriguing sleeper at tight end, but it would be reckless to count on him as a fantasy starter.
Chig OkonkwoWashington Commanders
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 4, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Oronde Gadsden II to fall short of his draft cost (ECR: TE20)
I’ll be avoiding Oronde Gadsden in drafts this season. ... Gadsden looks like he’s locked in a tight end committee for 2026
Oronde Gadsden IILos Angeles Chargers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 4, 2026 De'Von Achane to fall short of his draft cost (the second round of fantasy football drafts)
It's possible Achane's talent overcomes the adverse conditions he faces in 2026, but that's not a bet I'm eager to make in the second round of fantasy football drafts.
Jalen Hurts to fall short of his draft cost (midrange QB1 price)
With sensational rushing yards no longer bankable, Hurts is a fade.
Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (the second round of non-TE Premium drafts)
they are why I would suggest he is not someone I would pull the trigger on in the second round of non-TE Premium drafts... Even with McBride having the best odds to run the most routes again, I am not drafting him at his current cost
Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (ecs in between at one thirty)
Erics has got him at one fifty four... I think Mark Andrews is just cooked at this point, to be honest... I think Mark Andrews is out of juice.
Rachaad White to fall short of his draft cost (the east Yar at one sixteen)
Pat you've got him lower at one twenty seven... I just don't think Rashad White is a good enough runner to really become the lead guy... I just don't see much of a ceiling.
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (consensus is seven overall)
ericson all the way at nineteen... So for those reasons, I'm just not gonna be drafting Christian McAffrey this year.
Bhayshul Tuten to fall short of his draft cost (ECRs in between you guys at sixty five)
fits a year at seventy six... I'm nervous that Tuton winds up being more of a flex type guy than a guy you feel good about starting every week.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ECR twenty seven overall)
There's no discount this year at ECR twenty seven overall... I do think there are better options on the board around that round two, round three turn, and they're certainly safer options on the board at that point.
RJ Harvey to fall short of his draft cost (ECR eighty three)
Pat, You're way further down at one thirty three... Like ECR and Ericson's ranking put RJ. Harvey in the seventh round. No thank you, no thank you to that price.
Kyren Williams to fall short of his draft cost (drafted as the RB twelve, RB thirteen)
Andrew you're at forty five... you could get left holding the bag a little bit with Kieron Williams versus what is his actual ceiling... well then I don't necessarily want to buy that. Where he's been drafted.
Brian Thomas Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (ECR of eighty five)
ericson you're nowhere near it at one oh six... so those are for the reasons why I'm concerned about Brian Thomas Junior.
Jameson Williams to fall short of his draft cost (he's fifty on the button that ECR)
Ericson, you're way under consensus here at seventy... So for those reasons, I just think that he's being over valid.
Jameson Williams to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver twenty five on ECR fiftieth overall)
I think Jameson Williams needs to be further down into the wide receiver threes... I do not love how aggressive these projections feel.
Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (seventy eight overall on the ECR ... QB ten)
I'm not feeling all that great about Dart taking a big leap forward in year two with Matt Nagy as the Giants offensive coordinator.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (twenty seven overall wide receiver twelve)
are the projections factoring in Rashid Rice's terrible personal judgment?... I just don't feel the projections are baking in the injury risk and the poor judgment risk here
Sam LaPorta to fall short of his draft cost (his overall ECR is eighty five)
I probably don't want to spend a top one hundred pick on Sam Laporta... So for me, I'm kind of out on Laporta here
Christian Watson to fall short of his draft cost (ECR fifty seven, overall wide receiver twenty seven)
So I'm just not gonna be rostering Christian Watson anywhere.
By sport
NFL — fantasy bust calls (38 graded)
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