Fantasy Bust Calls

Jameson Williams to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 57.8)

I have been on record all offseason about avoiding Williams at his ADP because of how volatile the former Alabama star is.

Jameson WilliamsDetroit Lions

Jeremiyah Love to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 28 | RB14)

“Jeremiyah Love at RB14 and 28th overall is my biggest bust at running back... I see far more paths to him failing to return that investment.”

Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals

Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (around QB11)

“I have Dart down at QB15, and if those rushing touchdowns come back to earth, I think he has a tough time paying off a borderline QB1 price.”

Jaxson DartNew York Giants

TreVeyon Henderson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 57.3 | RB26)

TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE): ADP 57.3 | RB26 ... “Henderson could be the biggest bust in fantasy football.” – Derek Brown (FantasyPros)

TreVeyon HendersonNew England Patriots

Colston Loveland to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 41 | TE3)

“I love Loveland as a talent but am worried the market is overconfident in his role in the offense” / “may not justify taking him in the third or fourth round”

Colston LovelandChicago Bears

Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (first-round cost)

“McCaffrey can still be great, but the age, current physical concerns, and first-round cost create too many ways for the investment to disappoint.”

Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers

Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 97.3 | QB11)

Jaxson Dart (QB – NYG): ADP 97.3 | QB11 — “I’m worried about Jaxson Dart... I’m drafting around Dart” – Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)

Jaxson DartNew York Giants

DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 47.7 | WR22)

“I have him ranked as a WR3 while he’s being drafted as a WR2. At that price, I’m not convinced the target volume will be high enough for him to return value.”

DJ MooreBuffalo Bills

Drake Maye to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 51.7 | QB3)

“I expect Drake Maye to be the biggest fantasy bust this season... he will not return that value where he is being drafted.”

Drake MayeNew England Patriots

Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 28.3 | WR12)

“Malik Nabers is coming off of two surgeries to repair his torn ACL... Bust” / “currently coming off the board at 29th overall (WR12), and that simply is way too hefty of a price”

Malik NabersNew York Giants

Courtland Sutton to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 88.7 | WR37)

“Courtland Sutton is primed to be one of this year’s biggest fantasy busts as his target share collapses in a suddenly crowded Denver Broncos offense.”

Courtland SuttonDenver Broncos

Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (Round 1/2)

“Despite all this negative news, Jeanty is still going Round 1/2 once again.” – Muntradamus (Beast Dome)

Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders

Joe Burrow to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 53 | QB4)

“For me, it’s Joe Burrow, who’s coming off the board as the QB4 based on Real-Time ADP... the fifth round feels too pricey for a guy who rarely runs.” – Wolf Trelles-Heard (FantasyPros)

Joe BurrowCincinnati Bengals

Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (the back end of the first round)

“Ashton Jeanty will be the biggest bust of the season. Jeanty has been regularly going at the back end of the first round in drafts, and that’s far too early... Jeanty is a third-round pick in fantasy drafts.”

Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders

Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 20 | WR7)

“He can have another strong season without delivering top-seven value, making him a player I would fade in the second round.”

Drake LondonAtlanta Falcons

Matthew Stafford to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 106.3 | QB13)

“Matthew Stafford is still excellent, but the Rams may not need another MVP-level passing season from him... I would rather wait than pay for last season’s career year.”

Matthew StaffordLos Angeles Rams

Puka Nacua to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 5 | WR2)

Puka Nacua (WR – LAR): ADP 5 | WR2 — “Puka Nacua is my biggest bust candidate, although this is entirely about price rather than talent.”

Puka NacuaLos Angeles Rams

Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 32.7 | WR14)

Rashee Rice (WR – KC): ADP 32.7 | WR14 ... – Scott Pianowski (Yahoo! Sports)

Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 4.7 | RB3)

Christian McCaffrey (RB – SF): ADP 4.7 | RB3 — “Christian McCaffrey. The issue isn’t talent; it’s the price and risk profile.” – Billy Pinder (FFHAP)

Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers

De'Von Achane to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 12 | RB7)

“De’Von Achane is my pick to be one of the biggest fantasy busts this season because his current draft cost assumes he can maintain nearly all of the production that made him elite in previous years.”

De'Von AchaneMiami Dolphins

Brock Bowers to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 22 | TE1)

“Brock Bowers is my biggest bust candidate of the four, mostly because of the price.”

Brock BowersLas Vegas Raiders

Ladd McConkey to fall short of his draft cost (around pick 45)

“Owners who draft him around pick 45 will be depending on him for consistent weekly production, and they will be let down... this high, he is a bust.”

Ladd McConkeyLos Angeles Chargers

De'Von Achane to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 10.8 | RB6)

De'Von Achane (MIA) – ADP 10.8 | RB6 ... I won't draft him as a mid-range RB1 and would like to avoid picking Achane altogether with Malik Willis under center.

De'Von AchaneMiami Dolphins

Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 5.8 | RB3)

Christian McCaffrey (SF) – ADP 5.8 | RB3 ... the superstar turned 30 this offseason and is a ticking time bomb because of his age and injury history.

Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers

TreVeyon Henderson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 59.8 | RB25)

TreVeyon Henderson (NE) – ADP 59.8 | RB25 ... Neither New England running back should get drafted in the top 72 picks.

TreVeyon HendersonNew England Patriots