Kelly says he would also take the Chargers over the Giants, but his own favorite pick is the Vikings over the Steelers in Dublin, banking on Minnesota's defense creating the difference.

2 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Game Outcome PicksSep 26, 2025

  “I wanted to pick the Vikings in this one... ultimately I think the Vikings defense is gonna be the difference.”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  PIT

  score:

  21-24

  skill:

  -183

  they picked:

  MIN

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  PIT

  difficulty:

  1.83

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  15

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksSep 26, 2025

  “I actually think what Hyfez did is rational. I would pick the Chargers in this one too.”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  NYG

  score:

  18-21

  skill:

  -183

  they picked:

  LAC

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  NYG

  difficulty:

  1.83

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  15

  Think this is wrong?