Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 13, 2025
Fitzmaurice expects Detroit to blow out Chicago, has aggressively moved Breece Hall and Travis Etienne up his rest-of-season running back ranks (both RB14, with Omarion Hampton at RB13), sees Emeka Egbuka as a rest-of-season WR27, and believes Kenneth Walker will reclaim the lead role in Seattle's backfield.
“I just think the Lions are going to crush the Bears, and the Detroit running game is gonna have a big day.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
6 checkable claims — 4 positional finishes, 1 depth chart call and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 58.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsSep 13, 2025
Detroit Lions to beat Bears
“I just think the Lions are going to crush the Bears, and the Detroit running game is gonna have a big day.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DET
- score:
- 21-52
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Positional FinishesOmarion HamptonSep 13, 2025
Omarion Hampton to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points
“I've got Hampton RB thirteen.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Omarion Hampton
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at RB
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 24
- actual finish:
- 39
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- predicted finish:
- 13
Emeka Egbuka to finish top 27 at his position, by fantasy points
“Fits what do you think rest of the season? ... Wide receiver twenty seven”
Miss · 25Scored 25a naive guess scored 0+48.5 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 48.5
- player:
- Emeka Egbuka
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 25
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at WR
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 36
- actual finish:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- predicted finish:
- 27
Kenneth Walker III to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think the balance of power in the backfield probably shifts back towards Walker in the coming weeks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- SEA
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Kenneth Walker III
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Positional FinishesBreece HallNew York JetsSep 13, 2025
Breece Hall to finish top 14 at his position, by fantasy points
“Hall was running back sixteen in my preseason rankings. Now he's up to fourteen in the rest of season rankings”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 100-64.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -64.67
- player:
- Breece Hall
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 18
- actual finish:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- predicted finish:
- 14
Travis Etienne to finish top 14 at his position, by fantasy points
“Etn was running back thirty four for me... And now I've got him at RB fourteen”
Close · 58Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 0+113.17 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 113.17
- player:
- Travis Etienne
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 58.33
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 39
- actual finish:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- predicted finish:
- 14
What others said about the same people
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Ameer AbdullahHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
- Doug JoubertRoster Spot Calls · Travis EtienneHit · 100Joubert projects the Saints' 53-man roster ahead of the cutdown deadline, naming every player he expects to make the team by position group, plus several players he expects to receive PUP/IR designations, and predicting Torricelli Simpkins will later be moved to the practice squad.
- Jeremy BrenerRoster Spot Calls · Cooper KuppHit · 100Brener projects Seattle's wide receiver room to include Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Cooper Kupp, Rashid Shaheed, Tory Horton, Jake Bobo and rookie Emmanuel Henderson Jr. on the 53-man roster, leaving Montorie Foster Jr. fighting for a spot despite a strong camp and preseason showing.
- John ShipleyRoster Spot Calls · Branson CombsHit · 100Shipley's training camp winners and losers: he picks Parker Washington to lead the Jaguars in receiving yards, sees B.J. Green winning the DE3 job, Jarrian Jones earning a Week 1 starting job, and Matt Dickerson, Branson Combs and Chuma Edoga making the roster, while Quintin Morris is a bubble player behind two rookie tight ends.
- John ShipleyRoster Spot Calls · Albert RegisHit · 100Shipley argues rookie third-round defensive tackle Albert Regis deserves tempered expectations, projecting him to make the 53-man roster but rank fifth among Jacksonville's interior defensive linemen, behind Matt Dickerson and Ruke Orhorhoro in snaps.
- Matt DeryRoster Spot Calls · Tom KennedyMiss · 0Derry predicted a Lions win over the Saints by a 24-20 score, with the Saints covering the 7.5-point spread.
More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich HribarPositional Finishes · Matthew StaffordHit · 100Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.
- Chris BrockmanPositional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaHit · 100Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.
- Ryan TracyPositional Finishes · Bryan CookMiss · 0Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; he names Brian Robinson as his target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.
- Pat GustavsonPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots.
- JP AcostaPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.
- Rich EisenPositional Finishes · George PickensHit · 100Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.