Gregg Rosenthal· Aug 21, 2025
In a five-man mock draft Rosenthal took Jahmyr Gibbs first among his picks, then Saquon, Nico Collins, Chase Brown, Ladd McConkey and Omarion Hampton. He also called Nico Collins a top-five receiver, floated Ladd McConkey finishing as WR3, expected Travis Hunter to become Jacksonville's best receiver, predicted Hampton to become the Chargers' workhorse, thought Rhamondre Stevenson stays on the Patriots, and predicted Kendrick Bourne gets traded to the 49ers.
“To me, he is a top five dude, like as just at the position, and he's got C. J. Stroud.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
8 checkable claims — 3 depth chart calls, 2 positional finishes, 1 fantasy ranking, 1 roster spot call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
6 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 64.2 out of 100, against 41.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
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Who this take is about
8 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Kendrick Bourne to move to San Francisco 49ers
“Kendrick Bourne forty nine er. I'm going to say for a twenty twenty seven sixth it's happening.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Kendrick Bourne
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- SF
- was with:
- NE
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SF
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Rhamondre Stevenson to make the roster
“it's not crazy to imagine a world where Rimandre is not on this Patriots team. If I had to guess, I think he's on it, but I I think that's like seventy five twenty five.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NE
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Rhamondre Stevenson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- Positional FinishesNico CollinsHouston TexansAug 21, 2025
Nico Collins to finish top 5 at his position, by rushing yards
“I just feel more confident that a Nico Collins at this point is a better football player than a Brian Thomas junior... To me, he is a top five dude, like as just at the position”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Nico Collins
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- rushing yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 125
- actual finish:
- 38
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 5
- Fantasy RankingsAug 21, 2025
“Greg's picks in the mock draft: Jahmyr Gibbs 2nd, Saquon 7th, Nico Collins 12th, Chase Brown 17th, Ladd McConkey 22nd, Omarion Hampton 27th.”
Hit · 93Scored 93.33a naive guess scored 50+86.67 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 86.67
- placed:
- 6
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 6
- accuracy:
- 93.33
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- RB 4: 90, WR 2: 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Omarion Hampton to be 1st on the depth chart
“if we get to week eleven twelve... it just wouldn't surprise me if he's more true workload Bijon Robinson type of guy as we get later in the season”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- LAC
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Omarion Hampton
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Ladd McConkey to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points
“I'm taking ceiling guys and he's maybe the last of these guys that would it be that crazy if he was wide receiver three at the end of the year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Ladd McConkey
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 11
- actual finish:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 3
- Depth Chart CallsDevon AllenNew Orleans SaintsAug 21, 2025
Devon Allen to be 4th on the depth chart
“I kind of like Devon Vailey, like he could be their third or fourth best receiver”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Travis Hunter to be 1st on the depth chart
“Travis under might be situational for now. If by week five he might, it's not crazy to imagine him being the best receiver on the team.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsMiss · 0Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game.
- Alain PoupartScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersClose · 71Poupart predicts the 49ers beat the Dolphins 27-17 at Levi's Stadium in Week 2, though he expects the game to be closer than the spread suggests. He also anticipates a larger role for De'Von Achane and a big passing day from Brock Purdy.
- Carter BahnsScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsClose · 50He picks Jacksonville to win in Denver, arguing the market still undervalues the Jaguars and that the Broncos' offense under new play-caller Davis Webb won't score enough to keep pace.
- Derek BrownGame Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100In a Week 2 start/sit column, Derek Brown gave lineup advice on running backs, including a prediction that the 49ers would blow out the Dolphins.
- Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Cowherd repeats his claim that Caleb Williams will be viewed as a top four or five quarterback by the end of the season, restates his preseason pick of the Ravens to win their division, and expects a angry Houston defense to beat Cincinnati on Sunday.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Matt SeveranceDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The CBS Sports preview backs Tampa Bay to beat Cleveland in the Bucs' Week 2 home opener, and states that Deshaun Watson — not Shedeur Sanders — will be Cleveland's starting quarterback in Week 2.
- Rafael ZamoranoDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Zamorano reports Watson will start Week 2 at Tampa Bay and suggests there's little reason to expect improvement, raising the possibility Watson's five-year contract never yields more than single-digit wins.
- Rich HribarDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0Hribar expects Tua Tagovailoa to be Atlanta's starting quarterback for Week 2 while Michael Penix stays out, with Penix's return closer to Week 4. He is unenthusiastic about the Falcons' offense either way and treats Bryce Young as a fringe fantasy starter.
- Bradley LockerDepth Chart Calls · Carson WentzHit · 100PFF's unsigned adjusted power rankings after Week 1 of the 2026 season place the Bills first, the Rams second and the Dolphins last, with notes on quarterback situations in Seattle, Minnesota and Cleveland.
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Michael Penix Jr.Miss · 0In a Week 1 recap with no named byline, CBS Sports suggested Michael Penix Jr. would take over as Atlanta's Week 2 starter if healthy, called Ashton Jeanty's sophomore breakout imminent, and warned readers not to overlook San Francisco as NFC West winners.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Rashod BatemanMiss · 0In his Week 2 waiver wire column, Fitzmaurice recommends a slate of pickups he expects to outperform their current rostership (Kaelon Black, Deebo Samuel, Tyler Shough, Geno Smith and others), lays out several depth-chart expectations (Black as the 49ers' No. 2 back, Shedeur Sanders eventually taking over in Cleveland, Penix returning for Atlanta), and flags Fool's Gold/drop candidates such as Mike Gesicki, Kendrick Bourne and Rashid Shaheed.