What's Wright with Nick Wright · Aug 29, 2025

In part two of his gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.

“The Bucks are going to win ten games. Ten games will get them in the playoffs, at least ten games, I should say.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

30 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Playoff PicksAug 29, 2025
“Giants at plus five hundred to make the playoffs”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 29, 2025
“I do think they go back to the playoffs.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 29, 2025
“You got the Raiders to make the playoffs at plus three forty”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 29, 2025
“the Chiefs to make the playoffs at minus three eighty”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 29, 2025
“So I will take and I will bet the Bears over eight and a half”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 15+90 skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
naive:
6.75
skill:
90
what happened:
11
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
15
predicted:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 29, 2025
“So I like the Commanders over nine and a half... I had the Commanders and the Eagles both finishing eleven and six”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
naive:
10.25
skill:
0
what happened:
5
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 29, 2025
“I am going over with the Rams for nine and a half”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+30 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
naive:
9.25
skill:
30
what happened:
12
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
45
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 29, 2025
“I am going to go under on the Panthers and over on the Saints”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 85-10 skill
How this was scored
team:
NO
naive:
6.75
skill:
-10
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
85
predicted:
5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 29, 2025
“Lions over under is at ten and a half... I have to go with the plus money side, So I will say over”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+30 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
naive:
11.75
skill:
30
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
45
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 29, 2025
“I will go over with the New York Giants. You just have to get to six wins.”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 65-10 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
naive:
5.75
skill:
-10
what happened:
4
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
65
predicted:
6
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 29, 2025
“I just think they're gonna win nine games”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 85+30 skill
How this was scored
team:
GB
naive:
9.75
skill:
30
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
85
predicted:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 29, 2025
“one of my bets will be Falcons over seven and a half at minus one forty”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
ATL
naive:
8.25
skill:
10
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
95
predicted:
8
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 29, 2025
“Kansas City over eleven and a half at plus one hundred”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
naive:
11.75
skill:
0
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 29, 2025
“This also is not a bet demands because I think eleven winds is where it lands... I had the Commanders and the Eagles both finishing eleven and six”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
naive:
11.25
skill:
10
what happened:
11
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
95
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksAug 29, 2025
“I think they're going to start three and zero at Atlanta at the Texans home for the Jets”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 29, 2025
“I just think the Commanders are gonna win the division”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 29, 2025
“Vegas six and a half at minus one hundred and forty five”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team CallsAug 29, 2025
“I actually think this team is a sneaky playoff contender because of the schedule”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 29, 2025
“You got the Bucks at minus one seventy to make the playoffs”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 29, 2025
“We've got the Jags at plus one eighty to make the playoffs... I'm having them make the playoffs at plus one eighty”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 29, 2025
“For the overs, We've got Jags at seven and a half at minus one twenty five”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 29, 2025
“I do think they're gonna win the division. I do think they're the best team in that division.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team CallsAug 29, 2025
“there has to be the shock playoff team. I have cast my lot with it being the Raiders.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsAug 29, 2025
“Listen, I like Tyler Booker, their rookie first round pick, still a rookie player, you know, starter from day one.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Position Group RankingsAug 29, 2025
“I think they might have the best front four in football.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing CallsAug 29, 2025
“it feels like Kyler Murray starting quarterback for the Pittsburgh Steelers Week one of next year. Feel feels about like the plan”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 29, 2025
“Yeah, I mean they're gonna win the division”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 29, 2025
“the Bucks are going to win ten games. Ten games will get them in the playoffs, at least ten games”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksAug 29, 2025
“I think they're going to start three and zero at Atlanta at the Texans home for the Jets”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksAug 29, 2025
“I think they're going to start three and zero at Atlanta at the Texans home for the Jets and obviously Texans are a good team. I think Tampa's better”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?