Daniel Jeremiah · Mar 4, 2025
Coming out of the combine, DJ projected draft ranges for a batch of prospects: Trey Amos inside the top 50, Shemar Stewart ahead of James Pearce with both gone by the early 20s, Landon Jackson in the 30-40 range, Armand Membou as the first or second offensive lineman off the board, a third-round tackle cluster, Ingram-Dawkins as a fourth-rounder, Jeanty ahead of Omarion Hampton at running back, and Matthew Golden between picks 10 and 20.
“I think he's going to go in the top fifty picks when it's all said and done.”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
12 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksJalen TravisMar 4, 2025
“I have Jayalen, Travis, Logan Brown, Anthony Belton. Those guys are all together in my little clump right there. All is sixty one always like third round type type guys.”
Scored 26.11a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jalen Travis
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 26.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 127
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 26.11
- predicted pick:
- third round type (picks 65–96)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksTyrion Ingram-DawkinsMar 4, 2025
“he was not my top fifty, but he's to me, I had him like he's a fourth round guy.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 139
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- fourth round (picks 97–140)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Position Order CallsOmarion HamptonMar 4, 2025
“Omar and Hampton. We won't get into him. And he's I mean, he's at worst the second running back.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 16.48+83.52 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- naming one of the 25 at random averages 16.48
- skill:
- 83.52
- player:
- Omarion Hampton
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 16.48
- position:
- running back
- class size:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 2
- predicted order:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksLogan BrownMar 4, 2025
“I have Jayalen, Travis, Logan Brown, Anthony Belton... always like third round type type guys.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Logan Brown
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; later signed with SEA
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- third round type (picks 65–96)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Prospect vs Prospect CallsAshton JeantyMar 4, 2025
“I have heard some conversation about, oh, maybe he closes in on Gent. I still think Gent goes ahead of him, but it's going to be close.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- claim:
- Ashton Jeanty drafted ahead of Omarion Hampton
- draft:
- 2025
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- Ashton Jeanty went 6, Omarion Hampton went 22
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- true
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- compared to:
- Omarion Hampton
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksAnthony BeltonMar 4, 2025
“I have Jayalen, Travis, Logan Brown, Anthony Belton... always like third round type type guys.”
Scored 62.09a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Anthony Belton
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 62.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 54
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 62.09
- predicted pick:
- third round type (picks 65–96)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksMatthew GoldenMar 4, 2025
“He was my twenty second player coming into this. He'll be in from somewhere between ten and twenty.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Mock Draft PicksTrey AmosMar 4, 2025
“I think he's going to go in the top fifty picks when it's all said and done.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Mock Draft PicksJames Pearce Jr.Mar 4, 2025
“I think they're both gone by the early twenties. I think they'll come off the board.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Mock Draft PicksShemar StewartMar 4, 2025
“I would guess those guys, I mean, I think they're both gone by the early twenties. I think they'll come off the board.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Position Order CallsArmand MembouMar 4, 2025
“He is going to he is going to be the first or second offensive lineman take”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Mock Draft PicksLandon JacksonMar 4, 2025
“So he's going in the top fifty picks. It's just a matter of where he goes. To me, he feels like if I was going to guess thirty to forty”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.