Daniel Jeremiah· Mar 4, 2025
Coming out of the combine, DJ projected draft ranges for a batch of prospects: Trey Amos inside the top 50, Shemar Stewart ahead of James Pearce with both gone by the early 20s, Landon Jackson in the 30-40 range, Armand Membou as the first or second offensive lineman off the board, a third-round tackle cluster, Ingram-Dawkins as a fourth-rounder, Jeanty ahead of Omarion Hampton at running back, and Matthew Golden between picks 10 and 20.
“I think he's going to go in the top fifty picks when it's all said and done.”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
12 checkable claims — 9 mock draft picks, 2 position order calls and 1 prospect vs prospect call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
6 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 65.3 out of 100, against 44.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
12 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksTyrion Ingram-DawkinsMar 4, 2025
Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins to be picked “fourth round” (picks 103–138)
“he was not my top fifty, but he's to me, I had him like he's a fourth round guy.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 139
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- fourth round (picks 103–138)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksJalen TravisMar 4, 2025
Jalen Travis to be picked “third round type” (picks 65–102)
“I have Jayalen, Travis, Logan Brown, Anthony Belton. Those guys are all together in my little clump right there. All is sixty one always like third round type type guys.”
Miss · 34Scored 33.86a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jalen Travis
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 33.86
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 127
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 33.86
- predicted pick:
- third round type (picks 65–102)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksLogan BrownMar 4, 2025
Logan Brown to be picked “third round type” (picks 65–102)
“I have Jayalen, Travis, Logan Brown, Anthony Belton... always like third round type type guys.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Logan Brown
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; later signed with SEA
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- third round type (picks 65–102)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksAnthony BeltonMar 4, 2025
Anthony Belton to be picked “third round type” (picks 65–102)
“I have Jayalen, Travis, Logan Brown, Anthony Belton... always like third round type type guys.”
Close · 62Scored 62.09a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Anthony Belton
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 62.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 54
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 62.09
- predicted pick:
- third round type (picks 65–102)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Position Order CallsOmarion HamptonMar 4, 2025
Omarion Hampton to be 2nd running back off the board
“Omar and Hampton. We won't get into him. And he's I mean, he's at worst the second running back.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 16.48+83.52 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- naming one of the 25 at random averages 16.48
- skill:
- 83.52
- player:
- Omarion Hampton
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 16.48
- position:
- running back
- class size:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 2
- predicted order:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Prospect vs Prospect CallsAshton JeantyMar 4, 2025
Ashton Jeanty to be drafted ahead of Omar and Hampton
“I have heard some conversation about, oh, maybe he closes in on Gent. I still think Gent goes ahead of him, but it's going to be close.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- claim:
- Ashton Jeanty drafted ahead of Omarion Hampton
- draft:
- 2025
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- Ashton Jeanty went 6, Omarion Hampton went 22
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- compared to:
- Omarion Hampton
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksLandon JacksonMar 4, 2025
Landon Jackson to be picked “thirty to forty”
“So he's going in the top fifty picks. It's just a matter of where he goes. To me, he feels like if I was going to guess thirty to forty”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Position Order CallsArmand MembouMar 4, 2025
Armand Membou to be the first or second offensive lineman taken offensive lineman off the board
“He is going to he is going to be the first or second offensive lineman take”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksMatthew GoldenMar 4, 2025
Matthew Golden to be picked “somewhere between ten and twenty”
“He was my twenty second player coming into this. He'll be in from somewhere between ten and twenty.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksTrey AmosMar 4, 2025
Trey Amos to be picked “top fifty picks”
“I think he's going to go in the top fifty picks when it's all said and done.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksJames Pearce Jr.Mar 4, 2025
James Pearce Jr. to be picked “gone by the early twenties”
“I think they're both gone by the early twenties. I think they'll come off the board.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksShemar StewartMar 4, 2025
Shemar Stewart to be picked “gone by the early twenties”
“I would guess those guys, I mean, I think they're both gone by the early twenties. I think they'll come off the board.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Tom PelisseroMock Draft Picks · Ashton JeantyHit · 100Pelissero says Cam Ward is the Titans' pick at the top of the 2025 draft and that Travis Hunter is most likely the Browns' selection at No. 2; he also endorses Tyler Warren as a top-10 pick, expects Ashton Jeanty inside the top 10, and names five under-the-radar players who could sneak into round one, including Emeka Egbuka between picks 20-25 and Tyler Shough (whom he pegs more likely as a Day 2 pick).
- Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks · Armand MembouClose · 74Cowherd delivered his own top-15 draft board — what he would do as GM of each team — pairing prospects with picks 1 through 15, and separately argued Shedeur Sanders is a far better prospect than Daniel Jones and that Aaron Rodgers should retire.
- Peter SchragerMock Draft Picks · Ashton JeantyHit · 100Schrager laid out his top 10 prospects entering the 2025 combine, with Travis Hunter first, Abdul Carter second and Tyler Warren third, and attached draft-range calls to several of them — Will Johnson in the first round, Mason Graham a top-five pick, Ashton Jeanty a first-rounder, Tyler Warren not escaping the top ten, and Cam Ward a top-five to top-ten pick who will start as a rookie.
- Jacob WestendorfRoster Spot Calls · Anthony BeltonHit · 100In his final 53-man roster projection for the Packers, Westendorf names every player he expects to make the initial roster, places Luke Musgrave and Micah Parsons on PUP, projects Anthony Campbell as the final cut headed to the practice squad, and sets out several depth-chart calls (Love over Taylor, Jacobs as the bell cow, Franklin/Cooper starting at linebacker, Cox and Dennis-Sutton as the No. 2 edge tandem in Week 1).
- Bill HuberRoster Spot Calls · Matthew GoldenHit · 100Ahead of final cuts, Huber assigns Packers players probability tiers for making the 53-man roster, calling 40 players locks and another 12 more likely than not to stick, while projecting Keisean Nixon as a Week 1 starting cornerback, Tyrod Taylor as the backup QB, Skyy Moore as the returner, and Micah Parsons, Luke Musgrave and Jordon Riley opening the season on PUP.
- Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls · Landon JacksonHit · 100Gurzi predicts the Buffalo Bills' final 53-man roster ahead of Week 1 against Houston, naming every player who makes it, who gets cut, and a few depth-chart outcomes (Damar Hamlin as backup safety, Alec Anderson as a new starter on the offensive line, Shane Buechele back on the practice squad).
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.
- Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks · Olaivavega IoaneClose · 71He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks.