Jason McIntyre· Apr 9, 2025
Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre backed the Michael Penix-led Falcons to clear eight wins, citing a soft road schedule, and argued Alabama's Jalen Milroe will be selected in the first round of the NFL draft despite some analysts grading him as a Day 3 prospect.
“So I'm on the Falcons over seven and a half wins.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 53.7 out of 100, against 72.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where this call stands in the room
Atlanta Falcons · 2025 season · wins4 calls from 3 pundits between 8 wins and 10 wins. Jason McIntyre said 8 wins. the room's median is 8 wins. what happened: 8 wins
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
winsTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Season Win TotalsAtlanta FalconsApr 9, 2025
Atlanta Falcons to finish with 8 wins
“Keep an eye on the Atlanta Falcons over seven and a half wins... So I'm on the Falcons over seven and a half wins.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- ATL
- naive:
- 8.25
- skill:
- 10
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 95
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Mock Draft PicksJalen MilroeApr 9, 2025
Jalen Milroe to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“I think this is a Milrose situation where he goes first round guys.”
Miss · 7Scored 7.43a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jalen Milroe
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 7.43
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 92
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 7.43
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
What others said about the same people
- Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks · Shemar StewartHit · 92Cowherd delivered his own top-15 draft board — what he would do as GM of each team — pairing prospects with picks 1 through 15, and separately argued Shedeur Sanders is a far better prospect than Daniel Jones and that Aaron Rodgers should retire.
- Chris RoseTrade and Signing Calls · Malcolm KoonceMiss · 0Hosting a mock free-agency draft, Rose predicted destinations for Nick Bolton, Carlton Davis, Russell Wilson, Malcolm Koonce, Stefon Diggs, Byron Murphy, Chase Young and Jacoby Brissett, plus Justin Fields returning to Pittsburgh, Ronnie Stanley leaving Baltimore, and the Browns trading up to No. 1 to take Cam Ward.
- Gregg RosenthalTrade and Signing Calls · Kirk CousinsMiss · 0Rosenthal made a series of offseason personnel predictions at the combine: he believes Kirk Cousins will be traded away from Atlanta, that Justin Tucker will never play for the Ravens or in the NFL again, that Joey Bosa should/will be released by the Chargers, that Ronnie Stanley will re-sign with Baltimore rather than reach free agency, and that Chris Godwin will re-sign with Tampa Bay. He also expects Jaire Alexander not to return to Green Bay, Jonathan Allen to be traded, Jonah Williams to remain a Cardinal, and Brian Thomas Jr. to improve.
- Ralph VacchianoDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0Vacchiano ranks all 32 NFL teams entering the 2026 season, with the Rams first and Dolphins last. He also flags the Giants as a potential surprise team with a top-10 defense, and notes Deshaun Watson won Cleveland's QB job while Tua Tagovailoa starts Week 1 in Atlanta.
- Steven RuizDepth Chart Calls · Michael Penix Jr.Miss · 0In a retrospective tiering of all 32 starting quarterbacks, Ruiz treats Michael Penix Jr. as the Falcons' Week 1 starter over Kirk Cousins, whom he places in his lowest tier.
- John BreechDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0The unsigned Pick Six newsletter expects Seth McLaughlin to step into the Lions' starting center job with Cade Mays injured, and suggests Tua Tagovailoa is on track to be Atlanta's Week 1 starting quarterback.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.