Jonas Knox · Sep 4, 2025

Jonas Knox picked Philadelphia, Green Bay, Atlanta and San Francisco to win the NFC divisions, with the Giants last in the East and Seattle last in the West, and said Jackson Dart will get the starting opportunity in New York.

“I think Philly's the pick to go with here.”

said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →

9 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Power Rankings Los Angeles RamsSep 4, 2025
“I've got the forty nine Ers winning the division... I would have taken the LA Rams, but I'm not sold on Matthew Stafford... followed by the Arizona Cardinals and the Seattle Seahawks”
Scored 25a naive guess scored 75-100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-100
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
25
baseline:
75
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
3
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsSep 4, 2025
“I've got the Green Bay Packers winning the division, followed by the Chicago Bears, the Detroit Lions, and the Minnesota Vikings.”
Scored 90a naive guess scored 10+160 skill
How this was scored
skill:
160
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Jaxson Dart New York GiantsSep 4, 2025
“I think at some point, probably pretty early on, Jackson Dart's going to get his opportunity there”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
16.67
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsSep 4, 2025
“I think Philly's the pick to go with here. In the NFC East, I've got Washington second, the Dallas Cowboys third, and the New York Giants fourth.”
Scored 90a naive guess scored 90+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsSep 4, 2025
“I'm going to go with Atlanta winning the NFC South, followed by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Carolina Panthers, and the New Orleans Saints”
Scored 90a naive guess scored 90+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners San Francisco 49ersSep 4, 2025
“In the NFC West, I've got the forty nine Ers winning the division a much easier schedule.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Atlanta FalconsSep 4, 2025
“To the NFC South, I've got the Atlanta Falcons winning the division”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Philadelphia EaglesSep 4, 2025
“I think Philly's the pick to go with here. In the NFC East”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Green Bay PackersSep 4, 2025
“Going over to the North, I've got the Green Bay Packers winning the division”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?