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Jason McIntyre· Dec 24, 2025

McIntyre said the Raiders will hold a top-three pick, possibly No. 1, and that the Raiders–Giants game sets up the Giants with the No. 1 pick; he also thinks Baltimore must trade Lamar Jackson this offseason.

Well, the Raiders are the one that make the most sense. They're going to have a top three pick, maybe number one.

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

3 checkable claims — 2 team draft slot calls and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 92 out of 100, against 89.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
5What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • New York Giants to pick at number 1

    And by the way, this one set up the Giants with the number one pick.

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09a naive guess scored 91.7-8.45 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    NYG
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    they picked 3 the year before
    skill:
    -8.45
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    91.7
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1.11
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    2

    Think this is wrong?

  • Las Vegas Raiders to pick “a top three pick, maybe number one” (picks 1–3)

    They're going to have a top three pick, maybe number one.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 87.81+13.53 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    LV
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    they picked 6 the year before
    skill:
    13.53
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    87.81
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1.11
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted pick:
    a top three pick, maybe number one (picks 1–3)
    weeks left when called:
    2

    Think this is wrong?

  • Lamar Jackson to move

    You know the injury history, Colin, I think they got to make a move this offseason.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More team draft slot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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