Chris Brockman · Sep 22, 2025

Brockman argued only about five teams can realistically win the Super Bowl, naming the Bills, Eagles, Ravens and Chargers among them; he also picked Justin Herbert as MVP through three weeks, called the Colts a top-five team with Daniel Jones as an MVP finalist, said the Bears will finish top two in the NFC North, said the Bengals' season is cooked and they'll pick in the top 10, said the Rams are the only NFC threat to the Eagles, and said the Bucs have a team-of-destiny feel.

“It feels like there's only about five teams that can win the Super Bowl.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →

7 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Award Picks Justin Herbert Los Angeles ChargersSep 22, 2025
Justin Herbert to win MVP
“Justin Herbert. He's the MVP through the first three weeks. Hands down.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Justin Herbert
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Team Draft Slot Calls Cincinnati BengalsSep 22, 2025
Cincinnati Bengals to pick “picking in the top 10 this year” (picks 1–10)
“Their season is absolutely cooked, and they're gonna be picking in the top 10 this year.”
Miss · 26Scored 26.11a naive guess scored 73.84-90.22 skill
How this was scored
team:
CIN
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 17 the year before
skill:
-90.22
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
26.11
baseline:
73.84
actual pick:
41
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
picking in the top 10 this year (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Daniel Jones Indianapolis ColtsSep 22, 2025
Daniel Jones to win MVP finalist
“Danny Diamonds, Indiana Jones. He's gonna be an MVP finalist.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Daniel Jones
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Super Bowl Picks Green Bay PackersSep 22, 2025
Green Bay Packers to win the Super Bowl
“Look, man. I have them to win the Super Bowl, but it seems like we crown the Packers a little too early.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
GB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Conference Champions Philadelphia EaglesSep 22, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
“the Rams are still the only threat to the Eagles getting back to the Super Bowl in the NFC”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team Calls Tampa Bay BuccaneersSep 22, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat expectations
“The Bucks have that team of destiny feel to them after the first three games.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsSep 22, 2025
“But right now, through three weeks, Rich, the Colts are top five team in the NFL.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?