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Scott Bogman· Jun 29, 2025

Bogman likes Ricky Pearsall over the other 49ers receivers, picks Keon Coleman as his wide receiver breakout, backs Quinshawn Judkins to carry Cleveland's workload (ranking him RB27), and touts Caleb Williams' upside as a late-round quarterback.

“He's going so late in drafts. I will be taking him everywhere.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

5 checkable claims — 3 sleeper calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 fantasy ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 72.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Caleb Williams to outplay his draft cost (He's currently at thirteen)

    “There's just so much meat on the bone here for kid Williams to grow. He's currently at thirteen. I think he's a great like first QB to take or your highest QB two.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    He's currently at thirteen
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Caleb Williams
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    QB
    had to beat:
    QB16
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    QB5
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish

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  • Quinshon Judkins to outplay his draft cost (His ECR is currently I believe running back twenty eight)

    “But let's not forget about Judkins... His ECR is currently I believe running back twenty eight. I only have him one spot higher at twenty seven.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    His ECR is currently I believe running back twenty eight
    naive:
    a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
    skill:
    -200
    player:
    Quinshon Judkins
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    RB
    had to beat:
    RB24
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    RB26
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier

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  • Keon Coleman to outplay his draft cost (He's going so late in drafts)

    “my pick here is Keon Coleman... He's going so late in drafts. I will be taking him everywhere.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    He's going so late in drafts
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    -200
    player:
    Keon Coleman
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    WR
    had to beat:
    WR60
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    WR62
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish

    Think this is wrong?

  • Quinshon Judkins to be 1st on the depth chart

    “So I'm really excited to see him carry the workload.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Quinshon Judkins
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18

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  • Fantasy RankingsJun 29, 2025

    “I only have him one spot higher at twenty seven.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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