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Derek Brown· Jun 29, 2025

Brown names Ricky Pearsall a second-year wide receiver breakout he wants everywhere, prefers him to Stefon Diggs, calls Kaleb Johnson a top-24 running back who can win leagues, and says JJ McCarthy will be a QB1 in 2025.

“So it's Ricky Piersow baby... So I want to draft him everywhere.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

4 checkable claims — 2 positional finishes and 2 sleeper calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 25 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Kaleb Johnson to outplay his draft cost (He's ranked as an RB three on Fantasy pross are right now)

    “I love Caleb Johnson. He's ranked as an RB three on Fantasy pross are right now, he should be a top twenty four running back.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    He's ranked as an RB three on Fantasy pross are right now
    naive:
    a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
    skill:
    -200
    player:
    Kaleb Johnson
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    RB
    had to beat:
    RB24
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    RB104
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier

    Think this is wrong?

  • Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (the forty six wide receiver)

    “So it's Ricky Piersow baby, final two weeks of the regular season, who's wide receiver? Seven wide receiver fourteen fully believed? ... So I want to draft him everywhere.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    the forty six wide receiver
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Ricky Pearsall
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    WR
    had to beat:
    WR81
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    WR78
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kaleb Johnson to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points

    “he should be a top twenty four running back”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Kaleb Johnson
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    12
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    RB
    ranked by:
    fantasy points
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — the startable tier at RB
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    24
    actual finish:
    104
    weeks left when called:
    18
    predicted finish:
    24

    Think this is wrong?

  • J.J. McCarthy to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points

    “JJ McCarthy is a QB one. He's breaking out in twenty twenty five.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    J.J. McCarthy
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    12
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    QB
    ranked by:
    fantasy points
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — the startable tier at QB
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    12
    actual finish:
    32
    weeks left when called:
    18
    predicted finish:
    12

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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