Brady Quinn· Sep 4, 2025
Quinn gave a full AFC forecast with records: Chiefs 14-3 as the No. 1 overall seed and AFC West winner, Chargers 10-7 as the sixth seed, Bengals 13-4 winning the North over Baltimore 12-5, Steelers missing the playoffs, Bills 12-5 winning the East with the Patriots 10-7 grabbing the final wild card, and the Jaguars winning the AFC South over Houston via tiebreaker at 10-7.
“Let me start off at the AFC West with my number one over old seed... at fourteen and three out of the Kansasity Chiefs”
said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
26 checkable claims — 16 season win totals, 4 division winners, 4 playoff picks and 2 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 26 have settled, averaging 49.2 out of 100, against 36.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
26 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Division WinnersCincinnati BengalsSep 4, 2025
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
“I've got them winning the AFC North at thirteen and four, beating out Baltimore at twelve and five”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
- Division WinnersJacksonville JaguarsSep 4, 2025
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
“Only one team makes it from the playoffs from the AFC South, and it's the Jaguars via a tiebreaker”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- HOU
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- yes
Kansas City Chiefs to take the top seed
“not only winning the AFC West, but the number one over, I'll see”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- checked as:
- the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
- actual tier:
- missed the playoffs
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where they finished last season (bye)
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- claimed seed:
- 1
- claimed tier:
- bye
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Division WinnersKansas City ChiefsSep 4, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
“at fourteen and three out of the Kansasity Chiefs, not only winning the AFC West, but the number one over, I'll see”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
- Division WinnersBuffalo BillsSep 4, 2025
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“Bills leading the way at twelve and five... They still win the AFC East”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
Los Angeles Chargers to take the top seed
“They do make it in as the sixth seed”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- checked as:
- seeds 5–7 visit a wild-card game — the bracket cannot separate them further
- actual tier:
- visitor
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where they finished last season (visitor)
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- claimed seed:
- 6
- claimed tier:
- visitor
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsTennessee TitansSep 4, 2025
Tennessee Titans to finish with 5 wins
“the Titans of five and twelve”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TEN
- naive:
- 5.75
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 45
- predicted:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksNew England PatriotsSep 4, 2025
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
“the Patriots at ten and seven they get the final wild card spots”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NE
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsBaltimore RavensSep 4, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins
“beating out Baltimore at twelve and five”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 55-70 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- naive:
- 10.25
- skill:
- -70
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 55
- predicted:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksLos Angeles ChargersSep 4, 2025
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
“They do make it in as the sixth seed, though a wildcard seed nonetheless”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsMiami DolphinsSep 4, 2025
Miami Dolphins to finish with 7 wins
“Dolphins at seven and ten”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- MIA
- naive:
- 8.25
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- 7
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsNew York JetsSep 4, 2025
New York Jets to finish with 6 wins
“Jets at six and eleven”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 25+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYJ
- naive:
- 6.75
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 25
- predicted:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsIndianapolis ColtsSep 4, 2025
Indianapolis Colts to finish with 4 wins
“the Colts at four and thirteen”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 95-150 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- IND
- naive:
- 8.25
- skill:
- -150
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 95
- predicted:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsDenver BroncosSep 4, 2025
Denver Broncos to finish with 7 wins
“Broncos at seven and ten”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 5-10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DEN
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- -10
- what happened:
- 14
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 5
- predicted:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsLos Angeles ChargersSep 4, 2025
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 10 wins
“I've got the Chargers going ten and seven. They do make it in as the sixth seed”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 75+10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAC
- naive:
- 9.75
- skill:
- 10
- what happened:
- 11
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksJacksonville JaguarsSep 4, 2025
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
“it's the Jaguars that move on”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- JAX
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsJacksonville JaguarsSep 4, 2025
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10 wins
“the Jaguars go ten and seven”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 0+80 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- JAX
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- 80
- what happened:
- 13
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsHouston TexansSep 4, 2025
Houston Texans to finish with 10 wins
“The Texans go ten and seven”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- HOU
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 12
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 45
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksBaltimore RavensSep 4, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“I feel like Sincinnian and Baltimore anny playoff teams”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsPittsburgh SteelersSep 4, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 10 wins
“Mind you, Pittsburgh Steelers, they go nine and seven... I don't know how the hell I said Pittsburgh. What I say nine ten and seven... But at ten and seven, I look at that”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 85+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 10
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsCleveland BrownsSep 4, 2025
Cleveland Browns to finish with 5 wins
“Brown's at five and twelve, which I think hits”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 85+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CLE
- naive:
- 5.75
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 5
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsBuffalo BillsSep 4, 2025
Buffalo Bills to finish with 12 wins
“Bills leading the way at twelve and five”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- naive:
- 10.75
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- 12
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsNew England PatriotsSep 4, 2025
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
“the Patriots at ten and seven they get the final wild card spots”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 0+40 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NE
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- 40
- what happened:
- 14
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsKansas City ChiefsSep 4, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 14 wins
“at fourteen and three out of the Kansasity Chiefs”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- naive:
- 11.75
- skill:
- 0
- what happened:
- 6
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsCincinnati BengalsSep 4, 2025
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 13 wins
“Or the Cincinnati Bengals thirteen and four”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 45-90 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CIN
- naive:
- 8.75
- skill:
- -90
- what happened:
- 6
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 45
- predicted:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsLas Vegas RaidersSep 4, 2025
Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 6 wins
“Raiders at six at eleven”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 35+10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LV
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- 10
- what happened:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 35
- predicted:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
What others said about the same people
- John ShipleyRoster Spot Calls · Jalen McLeodMiss · 0Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there.
- Bucky BrooksRoster Spot Calls · Josh JohnsonMiss · 0Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season.
- Jared KochRoster Spot Calls · Lewis BondHit · 100Koch argues Kayshon Boutte is a winner in the trade to Houston, likely to see many more snaps and potentially post a career season, while Xavier Hutchinson's path to a breakout gets harder. He also sees Kamari Ramsey stepping up as the primary backup safety behind a top three of Bullock, Pitre and Blankenship, and views Jared Wayne as a fringe roster player squeezed by receivers he calls virtual locks.
- Jason La CanforaRoster Spot Calls · Gerad LichtenhanMiss · 0La Canfora predicts the Ravens will keep several young players on their practice squad — DL Kaimon Rucker, LB Dominic DeLuca, LB Ethan Burke, CB Amani Oruwariye, OT Gerad Lichtenhan and QB Joe Fagnano — and expects the team to make at least one trade from its surplus of cornerbacks.
- Lance ZierleinRoster Spot Calls · Lewis BondHit · 100Zierlein expects Texans QB C.J. Stroud to play roughly 10-12 plays in Thursday's preseason game, with Davis Mills going to halftime and newly signed Brett Rypien playing the entire second half. He also said if Tank Dell isn't ready, Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall would both likely make the roster, and predicted Keelan Rutledge will be the starting center with Wyatt Teller and Braden Smith starting.
- Lance ZierleinRoster Spot Calls · Lewis BondHit · 100Zierlein expects Trevor Goosby, Texas' starting left tackle, to be a first-round NFL draft pick, and thinks Quinn Ewers may struggle to stay on the Dolphins' roster beyond this year. He also predicts the Texans' preseason quarterback usage: C.J. Stroud around 10-12 plays, Davis Mills through the first half, and Brett Rypien for the second half. If Tank Dell isn't ready, he thinks Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall could both make the roster.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals · Dallas CowboysHit · 100Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.
- Richard ShermanSeason Win Totals · Green Bay PackersClose · 40Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking.
- John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals · San Francisco 49ersClose · 60Middlekauff says Denver's floor is ten wins, predicts Miami implodes to four or five wins and a top-three-or-four draft slot with Tyreek Hill traded, thinks the 49ers beat expectations with nine or ten wins, sees the Patriots at eight or nine wins, calls the Chargers over 9.5 a lock, expects Jared Goff to make five or six Pro Bowls, and says the Packers are flying under the radar.
- Richard ShermanSeason Win Totals · Detroit LionsHit · 100Sherman picks the Chiefs to beat the Bills in the AFC Championship Game despite Buffalo's turnover dominance, and picks the Commanders to upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship Game. He also expects Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year, though he hedges that voters may give it to Lamar or Josh Allen.
- Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Brockman pitched that the Eagles are the NFL's best team and that Saquon Barkley will win MVP as the first non-quarterback since 2011. He also declared the AFC playoff field already set with six weeks to go, said the Cowboys will make the playoffs, predicted Buffalo would blast the 49ers, and reiterated his earlier call that Carolina would win five or six games.
- JP AcostaSeason Win Totals · New York GiantsClose · 40Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco.