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Fantasy Bust Calls

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
409
Graded
38

9% settled

Average accuracy
57.9

out of 100

Pundits
47

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
22 scored 80+16 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

38 / 409

graded

371 still pending

Who is good at fantasy bust calls

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every fantasy bust calls take

401–409 of 409

  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceFantasy Bust Calls

    Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (a mid third round price)

    I just I want no part of thirty one year old Tyreek Hill coming off a bad year... I don't really want to pay a mid third round price to find out

    Tyreek HillMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceFantasy Bust Calls

    T.J. Hockenson to fall short of his draft cost (a sixth rounder in ECR)

    I just cannot get on board with a sixth round ECR for him.

    T.J. HockensonMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceFantasy Bust Calls

    Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (ECR sixteen, a second round pick)

    McCaffrey is not a risk worth taking because when your shark, your emphasis in the first two rounds should be on avoiding the bear traps

    Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Andrew EricksonFantasy Bust Calls

    Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty)

    there's too many red flags with Tyrek to take him ECR thirty for me

    Tyreek HillMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Andrew EricksonFantasy Bust Calls

    DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)

    I don't think he's going to be a bust by any means, but maybe underwhelm a little bit versus his ECR

    DJ MooreChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceFantasy Bust Calls

    Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (an ECR of forty three)

    with Rashie Rice at an ECR of forty three and Xavier Worthy at fifty four, at least one of those guys has to be a colossal disappointment at their current cost

    Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceFantasy Bust Calls

    DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)

    It's more of a gentle fade for me... I'm probably not going to have a lot of DJ Moore in twenty twenty five.

    DJ MooreChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Andrew EricksonFantasy Bust Calls

    Saquon Barkley to fall short of his draft cost (ECR number two, the number one running back)

    I don't think that he should be the number one running back Ranke... So I'm just going with the process play... I'm just gonna face Saquon

    Saquon BarkleyPhiladelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Andrew EricksonFantasy Bust Calls

    Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (round four)

    There's just like so many ways the right doesn't work out versus the cost you have to pay for him... So yeah, I agree kind of being lower on Rashie Rice.

    Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — fantasy bust calls (38 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.