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Fantasy Bust Calls

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
409
Graded
38

9% settled

Average accuracy
57.9

out of 100

Pundits
47

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
22 scored 80+16 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

38 / 409

graded

371 still pending

Who is good at fantasy bust calls

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every fantasy bust calls take

376–400 of 409

  • Miss · 0Joe PisapiaFantasy Bust Calls

    Breece Hall to fall short of his draft cost (RB nineteen forty three overall)

    I just don't think he has the value of where he's being drafted. So I'm going to pass on him because he's going around the same spot as running backs like Galvin Kamara, Chuba Hubbard, James Connor, Tony Pollard

    Breece HallNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • PendingPat FitzmauriceFantasy Bust Calls

    Joe Mixon to fall short of his draft cost (one O two overall RB thirty seven)

    Pass and it would have to fall into the late rounds for me to have any interest whatsoever. A foot issue, no bueno

    Joe MixonHouston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Joe PisapiaFantasy Bust Calls

    Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (seventy five overall)

    I'm gonna be a pass here. I'm gonna keep it simple and tell you why, because Rushie Rice needs to drop away further. He's missing six games.

    Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris WelshFantasy Bust Calls

    Jacory Croskey-Merritt to fall short of his draft cost (the seventh rounds)

    We've seen Bill Krofsky Merrit going to like the seventh rounds, some people posting around the fifth round. I think it's gone too crazy

    Jacory Croskey-MerrittWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Chris WelshFantasy Bust Calls

    Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver thirty two)

    I think Rice at the current value still doesn't make sense. So that's why they're both going to be passes.

    Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • PendingChris WelshFantasy Bust Calls

    Joe Mixon to fall short of his draft cost (one O two overall RB thirty seven)

    This is a hard pass. I have absolutely no interest... So I have no interest in Joe Mixon.

    Joe MixonHouston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris WelshFantasy Bust Calls

    Austin Ekeler to fall short of his draft cost (high into the thirties)

    You see Eckler going high into the thirties... I think it's gone too crazy, and I think there is too much of a committee here... So as a whole I'm gonna pass.

    Austin EkelerWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceFantasy Bust Calls

    Breece Hall to fall short of his draft cost (RB nineteen forty three overall)

    So there's just not a lot here for bres Hall if he's not playing a ton of SnO... So I don't have any interest in drafting him whatsoever.

    Breece HallNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Joe PisapiaFantasy Bust Calls

    Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (the seventh player overall)

    I'm a pass at seven. Yeah, I was into fourteen. I was curious at twelve, at ten maybe, but at seven, I don't know. I'm out there.

    Christian McCaffrey

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceFantasy Bust Calls

    Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (the thirty seventh player off the board)

    I'll pass... now he's in his thirties. It's just too many things to worry about here.

    Tyreek HillMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls

    Xavier Worthy to fall short of his draft cost (EASYR Wide Receiver twenty or ADP Wide Receiver twenty six)

    Exavi your worthy, man, it's got to be Exavier worthy. He is going as a top twenty four wide receiver in a lot of different spots right on EASYR Wide Receiver twenty or ADP Wide Receiver twenty six. I can't draft him at that spot.

    Xavier WorthyKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 9, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls

    Kyren Williams to fall short of his draft cost (RB twelve, twenty sixth overall in the ECR)

    This is Kieren Williams. He's RB twelve, twenty sixth overall in the ECR. And I can't rank Kien Williams that high... This is not a player that I want to spend an RB one or at least pay an RB one price tag for in Fantasy for twenty twenty five.

    Kyren WilliamsLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 9, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls

    Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (top twenty RB)

    Chuba Hubbard is going to be one of your biggest bus as far as adyp gos top twenty RB in there... So I think we cannot be expecting last year to repat heat

    Chuba HubbardCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 9, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Sean KernerFantasy Bust Calls

    Travis Hunter to fall short of his draft cost (going around wide receiver thirty in early drafts)

    right now, he's going around wide receiver thirty in early drafts, which might be a little too rich given just uncertainty on just how much he will play on offense

    Travis HunterJacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jul 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Simon HunterFantasy Bust Calls

    Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (the first round)

    I am down on Puoka. To me, he's one of the most overdrafted players right now in fancy football. Would not be taking Puoka in the first round.

    Tetairoa McMillanLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jul 23, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Jake CielyFantasy Bust Calls

    Romeo Doubs to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)

    another one that went in the arrange... Is Romeo Dobbs. Like, I'm sorry, Romeo Dobbs, but like eight point five, eight point two of the last two years

    Romeo Doubs

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jul 11, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Jake CielyFantasy Bust Calls

    Rashod Bateman to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)

    Rashad Bateman? What is Rashad Bateman? Ever? Like you hope you get a touchdown

    Rashod BatemanBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jul 11, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Jake CielyFantasy Bust Calls

    Justice Hill to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)

    they were drafted in these last three rounds. Justice Hill Overshad Bateman. Where is the upside?... he is going to be part of some time share

    Justice HillBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jul 11, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Jake CielyFantasy Bust Calls

    Breece Hall to fall short of his draft cost (RB thirteen)

    But at RB thirteen, I have him more as a back end RB two just because I think there's a lot of bust potential with this.

    Breece HallNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jun 22, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls

    Kyren Williams to fall short of his draft cost (ranking him as an RB one)

    So I was in on Kiren last year, but I am out this year... people are drafting him as an RB one, he easily could be an RB two in this offense

    Kyren WilliamsLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jun 14, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls

    Chase Brown to fall short of his draft cost (twelve RB overall)

    if that's where he goes he's gonna be a big bust this coming year because people are expecting RB one production if they are rafting Chase Brown.

    Chase BrownCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jun 14, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls

    Xavier Worthy to fall short of his draft cost (the wide receiver twenty)

    If he goes back into that role and Mahomes is still one of the worst deep all passes in the NFL, he's not going to come close to paying all this projection, not even close

    Xavier WorthyKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jun 14, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Joe PisapiaFantasy Bust Calls

    Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver fifteen right now in the ADP)

    that offensive line did not improve enough, nearly enough, and we find ourselves in that same scenario as we did in twenty twenty four. I think we're looking more like the guy we got in Tyreek in twenty twenty four than the guy we got in twenty twenty three.

    Tyreek HillMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jun 14, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls

    Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver fifteen and ADP)

    So this projection and where we are where the consensus is on Tyrek Hill scares the Bejesus out of me because I can't see him paying all on this.

    Tyreek HillMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jun 14, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls

    Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (RB twenty two)

    So Aaron Jones, I can't draft at RB twenty two right now. I just I can't do it.

    Aaron JonesMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 31, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — fantasy bust calls (38 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.