Fantasy Bust Calls
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 409
- Graded
- 38
- Average accuracy
- 57.9
- Pundits
- 47
9% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
38 / 409
graded
371 still pending
Who is good at fantasy bust calls
- Simon Hunter100 accuracy · 1 graded+200.0
- Derek Brown81 accuracy · 12 graded+125.0
- Andrew Erickson75 accuracy · 4 graded+100.0
- Chris Welsh75 accuracy · 4 graded+100.0
- Joe Pisapia50 accuracy · 4 graded+0.0
- Pat Fitzmaurice45 accuracy · 7 graded-20.0
- Jake Ciely33 accuracy · 4 graded-66.7
- Sean Kerner0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
- Ryan Wormeli0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)58.7 · 38 graded
Every fantasy bust calls take
376–400 of 409
Breece Hall to fall short of his draft cost (RB nineteen forty three overall)
I just don't think he has the value of where he's being drafted. So I'm going to pass on him because he's going around the same spot as running backs like Galvin Kamara, Chuba Hubbard, James Connor, Tony Pollard
Joe Mixon to fall short of his draft cost (one O two overall RB thirty seven)
Pass and it would have to fall into the late rounds for me to have any interest whatsoever. A foot issue, no bueno
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (seventy five overall)
I'm gonna be a pass here. I'm gonna keep it simple and tell you why, because Rushie Rice needs to drop away further. He's missing six games.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt to fall short of his draft cost (the seventh rounds)
We've seen Bill Krofsky Merrit going to like the seventh rounds, some people posting around the fifth round. I think it's gone too crazy
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver thirty two)
I think Rice at the current value still doesn't make sense. So that's why they're both going to be passes.
Joe Mixon to fall short of his draft cost (one O two overall RB thirty seven)
This is a hard pass. I have absolutely no interest... So I have no interest in Joe Mixon.
Austin Ekeler to fall short of his draft cost (high into the thirties)
You see Eckler going high into the thirties... I think it's gone too crazy, and I think there is too much of a committee here... So as a whole I'm gonna pass.
Breece Hall to fall short of his draft cost (RB nineteen forty three overall)
So there's just not a lot here for bres Hall if he's not playing a ton of SnO... So I don't have any interest in drafting him whatsoever.
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (the seventh player overall)
I'm a pass at seven. Yeah, I was into fourteen. I was curious at twelve, at ten maybe, but at seven, I don't know. I'm out there.
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (the thirty seventh player off the board)
I'll pass... now he's in his thirties. It's just too many things to worry about here.
Xavier Worthy to fall short of his draft cost (EASYR Wide Receiver twenty or ADP Wide Receiver twenty six)
Exavi your worthy, man, it's got to be Exavier worthy. He is going as a top twenty four wide receiver in a lot of different spots right on EASYR Wide Receiver twenty or ADP Wide Receiver twenty six. I can't draft him at that spot.
Kyren Williams to fall short of his draft cost (RB twelve, twenty sixth overall in the ECR)
This is Kieren Williams. He's RB twelve, twenty sixth overall in the ECR. And I can't rank Kien Williams that high... This is not a player that I want to spend an RB one or at least pay an RB one price tag for in Fantasy for twenty twenty five.
Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (top twenty RB)
Chuba Hubbard is going to be one of your biggest bus as far as adyp gos top twenty RB in there... So I think we cannot be expecting last year to repat heat
Travis Hunter to fall short of his draft cost (going around wide receiver thirty in early drafts)
right now, he's going around wide receiver thirty in early drafts, which might be a little too rich given just uncertainty on just how much he will play on offense
Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (the first round)
I am down on Puoka. To me, he's one of the most overdrafted players right now in fancy football. Would not be taking Puoka in the first round.
Romeo Doubs to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)
another one that went in the arrange... Is Romeo Dobbs. Like, I'm sorry, Romeo Dobbs, but like eight point five, eight point two of the last two years
Rashod Bateman to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)
Rashad Bateman? What is Rashad Bateman? Ever? Like you hope you get a touchdown
Justice Hill to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)
they were drafted in these last three rounds. Justice Hill Overshad Bateman. Where is the upside?... he is going to be part of some time share
Breece Hall to fall short of his draft cost (RB thirteen)
But at RB thirteen, I have him more as a back end RB two just because I think there's a lot of bust potential with this.
Kyren Williams to fall short of his draft cost (ranking him as an RB one)
So I was in on Kiren last year, but I am out this year... people are drafting him as an RB one, he easily could be an RB two in this offense
Chase Brown to fall short of his draft cost (twelve RB overall)
if that's where he goes he's gonna be a big bust this coming year because people are expecting RB one production if they are rafting Chase Brown.
Xavier Worthy to fall short of his draft cost (the wide receiver twenty)
If he goes back into that role and Mahomes is still one of the worst deep all passes in the NFL, he's not going to come close to paying all this projection, not even close
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver fifteen right now in the ADP)
that offensive line did not improve enough, nearly enough, and we find ourselves in that same scenario as we did in twenty twenty four. I think we're looking more like the guy we got in Tyreek in twenty twenty four than the guy we got in twenty twenty three.
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver fifteen and ADP)
So this projection and where we are where the consensus is on Tyrek Hill scares the Bejesus out of me because I can't see him paying all on this.
Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (RB twenty two)
So Aaron Jones, I can't draft at RB twenty two right now. I just I can't do it.
By sport
NFL — fantasy bust calls (38 graded)
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