Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 4, 2026
Fitzmaurice fades Rico Dowdle at his RB32/86th-overall ADP, believing Jaylen Warren will be Pittsburgh's primary back, and calls Trey McBride a landmine at his top-20 ADP due to expected target and touchdown regression.
“Warren is the better bet to serve as Pittsburgh’s primary running back, leaving Dowdle at risk of handling a smaller role than many fantasy managers expect.”
published in writing · FantasyPros · read the original →
3 checkable claims — 2 fantasy bust calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
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Who this take is about
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (a top-20 ADP)
“Trey McBride has a top-20 ADP... his target volume and touchdown total are both strong candidates to regress. He may still play well without delivering the type of production needed to justify selecting him in the middle of the second round.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jaylen Warren to be 1st on the depth chart
“Warren is the better bet to serve as Pittsburgh’s primary running back”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Rico Dowdle to fall short of his draft cost (the RB32 and 86th overall)
“Rico Dowdle is going as the RB32 and 86th overall... leaving Dowdle at risk of handling a smaller role than many fantasy managers expect.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
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- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Jason McIntyreTrade and Signing Calls · Aaron RodgersHit · 100McIntyre liked Cowherd's card, flagged the Jets and Chargers as potential upsets/strong teams, said the Chargers could reach the AFC Championship game, and declared Aaron Rodgers will miss the playoffs this year and retire in the offseason.
- Nick WrightTrade and Signing Calls · Kyler MurrayMiss · 0In part two of his gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.
- Tom PelisseroTrade and Signing Calls · Aaron RodgersHit · 100Pelissero says it wouldn't shock him if Shedeur Sanders is part of an open quarterback competition in Cleveland heading into training camp, expects Cam Ward to be the Titans' starter by the preseason, and suggests that if Aaron Rodgers plays poorly the Steelers could hold a top-15 pick in the 2026 draft and target a quarterback.
- Will BlackmonTrade and Signing Calls · Aaron RodgersHit · 100Blackmon believes Aaron Rodgers will either sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers or retire, and ultimately expects Pittsburgh to be where he lands because that is where he feels most respected.
More fantasy bust calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WormeliFantasy Bust Calls · Zay FlowersMiss · 0Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr.
- Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls · Zay FlowersMiss · 0Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.
- Chris WelshFantasy Bust Calls · Austin EkelerHit · 100Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.
- Joe PisapiaFantasy Bust Calls · Rashee RiceMiss · 0Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.
- Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls · Chuba HubbardHit · 100Derek Brown ("Deebro") names three busts to avoid in 2025 fantasy drafts: Kyren Williams at an RB1 price, Chuba Hubbard as a top-20 RB, and Xavier Worthy as his ultimate bust, arguing Rashee Rice is the clear No. 1 receiver in Kansas City.
- Simon HunterFantasy Bust Calls · Tetairoa McMillanHit · 100Simon is drafting Ashton Jeanty in the late first/early second and is comfortable taking him in the first round, is all-in on DeVonta Adams with the Rams, and calls Puka Nacua one of the most overdrafted players who should not be taken in the first round.